South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d25ddf0322929246b1bc757e224068f45510fd2e491d5e328cd3073585babee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 3,455$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.21 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 2,912$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.43 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…23f0backed Over | 37c | 1,581$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 1,071$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.77 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 3c | 915.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 79c | 251.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 62c | 212.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 206.62$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 77c | 200.29$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 63c | 185.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 37c | 183.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 78c | 142.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 142.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 77c | 132.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 77c | 128.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 128.88$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 37c | 119.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74de…693fbacked Over | 16c | 117.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Under | 64c | 115$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 37c | 92.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 66c | 87.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 78c | 81.38$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 78.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 78c | 32.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…81b5backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 67c | 30.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd940…e682backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.