South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b5ed9a899033b691a4e2d299ff679ec0dde95398e15ab66b008da1307207294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendozaof CA San Lorenzo de Almagro, CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 79c | 5,064$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.49 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 20c | 4,725$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.18 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 77c | 2,048$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.04 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 21c | 1,250$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 23c | 1,132$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.32 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 21c | 1,070$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 79c | 841$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 22c | 839.84$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.84 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 13c | 426.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 77c | 386.6$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 21c | 249.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 79c | 199.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 22c | 185.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 79c | 177.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.22 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 77c | 151.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 77c | 143.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 77c | 127.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 78c | 127.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 77c | 97.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 77c | 76.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 21c | 69.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 79c | 60.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 77c | 58.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 80c | 42.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 79c | 26.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 77c | 22.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 79c | 16.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 79c | 15.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza | 79c | 14.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.