South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee2986f46a07f697cadf2d7baa153a0ea1b778807c142ceaf25b13ff01afc86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf45…401fbacked Over | 4c | 8,910$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,938$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.62 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 2,402$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 31c | 2,355$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.58 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 42c | 1,874$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.44 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 41c | 1,695$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.73 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 15c | 1,364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Over | 40c | 761.68$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.57 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 35c | 698.85$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.79 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Over | 40c | 693.32$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Over | 29c | 685.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 65c | 607.99$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.38 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 54c | 481.65$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.51 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 36c | 401.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 45c | 369$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.97 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 59c | 350$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 42c | 334.86$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.64 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 34c | 306.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 41c | 287.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.56 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 277.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 78c | 253$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.66 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 55c | 216.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 62c | 193.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 39c | 157.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…08d9backed Over | 22c | 156.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 62c | 138.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 77c | 120.49$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 63c | 111.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…e0b2backed Over | 65c | 74.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 40c | 73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Over | 62c | 65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 31c | 61.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 64c | 59.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 50c | 59.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 39c | 57.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 49c | 54.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 63c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 64c | 47.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 59c | 39.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 60c | 39.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 46c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 62c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 43c | 26.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 45c | 24.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 60c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5this page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 4.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.