TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,651 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over27c11,136$3,001 inLost-$3,000.6614829.7%44 W · 104 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c4,617$3,375 inWon+$1,241.768,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c1,968$1,446 inWon+$521.421,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under73c1,027$750 inWon+$277.0664633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under72c625$450 inWon+$1752,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under72c563.2$406 inWon+$157.73941%16 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under73c524.6$382 inWon+$142.3755250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under74c323$239 inWon+$83.983,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under73c228.92$167 inWon+$61.5150656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under73c201.04$147 inWon+$54.1669453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under74c179.4$133 inWon+$46.6440451.2%207 W · 197 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over6c175.9$11 inLost-$10.555,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Under73c154.39$113 inWon+$41.8414753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under72c150$108 inWon+$4241654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under72c100$72 inWon+$286550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under74c97$72 inWon+$24.82,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under73c52.62$38 inWon+$14.1263061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under74c52.15$39 inWon+$13.6433266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Under72c50$36 inWon+$142369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8cd…ed53backed Under72c48.53$35 inWon+$13.468375.9%63 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under73c37.01$27 inWon+$9.9926465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91e7…6716backed Under75c25.03$19 inWon+$6.266065%39 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under73c18.48$13 inWon+$5.0433365.5%218 W · 115 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.