Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaff694ba069703bab9ef23d2c4cc1b3f9e7ccf73daf589fe4a23bccd0438c35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 18c | 5,852$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.8 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 25c | 2,791$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.35 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 74c | 2,747$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.63 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 60c | 2,104$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.05 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 1,975$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.64 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 23c | 1,035$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.05 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 833.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.16 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 640.08$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 639$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.42 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 15c | 569.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.68 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 29c | 563.38$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed No | 68c | 557$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 527.18$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.31 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 29c | 506.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.7 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 386.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.66 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 77c | 334$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 313.96$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.31 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 22c | 255$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 245.87$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 68c | 232.96$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 69c | 187.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +12.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 23c | 141.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.02 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 79c | 126$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 123.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.89 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 69c | 110$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 68c | 107$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…1e9ebacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 48c | 99.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 57c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Yes | 27c | 93.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Yes | 30c | 92.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 62c | 85.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 61c | 82.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 71c | 69.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed No | 62c | 67.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 69c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…b6e2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 60$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 60c | 54.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 68c | 52.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 68c | 52.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 64c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed No | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed Yes | 27c | 46.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Yes | 29c | 45.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 70c | 40.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 28c | 39.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 28c | 35.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 30c | 33.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 60c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 76c | 17.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?this page
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02?No won
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.