TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdc1…bdd8backed Yes61c16,394$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No32c13,112$4,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,936.92,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes74c7,946$5,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,889.077,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No41c6,055$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,572.381844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No41c5,000$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.979846.9%46 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No39c4,565$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.772,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes59c4,271$2,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,523.82,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No35c3,013$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.551842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd21c…2afcbacked No74c2,943$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.152055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes49c2,506$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.7992043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes61c2,465$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.741145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad9…40e6backed Yes56c1,670$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No41c1,432$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.0885250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No44c1,335$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.73167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No39c1,305$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.182,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c1,029$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.252,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No39c1,000$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6101,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No42c994.27$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.631,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No39c804$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.442763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes49c790.55$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.539865.3%64 W · 34 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes55c768.97$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.937342.5%31 W · 42 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes33c763.61$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.769341.9%39 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No38c755.7$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5332436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes55c727.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes36c694.77$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.195,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No45c632.43$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes3c605.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+86.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed No38c595.53$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.236445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d0…3592backed Yes61c553.97$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No52c527.19$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.269237%34 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x975c…6343backed No19c452.15$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.242142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes77c362.48$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4255954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes13c357.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.773429.4%10 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-40.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes75c351.06$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.8724851.6%128 W · 120 L+8.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes77c349.66$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.2832257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes59c340$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.611537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes59c333.42$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7221454.2%116 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No41c330$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.27779.2%61 W · 16 L+18.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x7a09…ab7ebacked No43c313.63$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No40c296$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.67338.4%28 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes16c252.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404810.4%5 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick8cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2218940.2%76 W · 113 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes32c210$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.785869%40 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+34.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked No19c200$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1639138.5%35 W · 56 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed No50c198.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.432450%12 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes61c197.38$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.7289258.2%519 W · 373 L+58.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No39c186.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.754533.3%15 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes36c179.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2615552.3%81 W · 74 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes59c164.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3373440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No74c153.52$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.819869.4%68 W · 30 L+16.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+39.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xff4b…6555backed Yes41c149.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.634744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No39c148$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.821,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked No42c147.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.42540%10 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed Yes61c138.83$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.38650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed No39c137.8$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.751833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…91f4backed Yes19c135.93$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+69%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed No51c132$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.333865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…ab54backed Yes59c118.95$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.181741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa12d…5a58backed Yes61c108.2$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…f368backed No49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x508d…3961backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No27c99.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1810936.7%40 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked No71c99.01$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.152564%16 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dfe…d954backed No17c92.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.841442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c89.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8977350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes75c79.78$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.699866.3%65 W · 33 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No65c79.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6110049%49 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No55c75.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8518659.7%111 W · 75 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345080%40 W · 10 L+10.9wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+55.7%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No58c73.25$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9223348.1%112 W · 121 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No53c71.99$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.058050%40 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaee…2fffbacked No42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.432142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4320647.6%98 W · 108 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e4…b94fbacked Yes60c71.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No56c69.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4928446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Yes75c69.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.129169.2%63 W · 28 L+10.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No40c65.74$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.448956.2%50 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No69c65.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3523747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes21c65.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9832350.2%162 W · 161 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes68c62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2529754.5%162 W · 135 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Yes79c60.46$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.844669.6%32 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes30c55.93$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Yes57c53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.196753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed No21c51.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.291963.2%12 W · 7 L+6.1wins+0.32per pick31cpaid+76.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No54c49.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.818848.4%91 W · 97 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No57c43.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.613847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No40c43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.83754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed Yes76c42.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.264967.3%33 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2167…5dedbacked Yes61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254835.4%17 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes49c38.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.874126.8%11 W · 30 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Yes60c38.13$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked No45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes69c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.349968.7%68 W · 31 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae33…ba39backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+38.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.