Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d7fbdb7bea8798731a86c022d489874b050443675300c97007886cc6c77eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 20c | 3,610$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 20c | 3,014$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.39 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 30c | 2,015$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.28 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 1,709$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.05 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 20c | 1,449$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -7.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 1,045$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 950.32$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 60c | 642.17$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.17 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 640.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Yes | 16c | 556.17$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 6c | 480.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 423.4$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Yes | 7c | 280.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 18c | 219.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 69c | 188.15$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.02 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 46c | 181$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.55 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 180.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 9c | 138$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 29c | 136.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 54c | 100.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 19c | 78.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 18c | 72.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 22c | 68.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 22c | 68.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 22c | 52.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3097…77e4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 32c | 49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 61c | 47.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 80c | 45.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed No | 57c | 24.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Yes | 44c | 22.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will Molde FK vs. Sarpsborg 08 FF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.