TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Winthrop Universityof Blue Otter, Winthrop University
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$150,119
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,119 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Blue Otter17c8,280$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.264112.2%5 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-51.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Blue Otter52c5,421$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.251,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Blue Otter38c5,024$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.491,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Winthrop University31c4,814$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,321.4910535.2%37 W · 68 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked Blue Otter42c4,709$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00028642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Blue Otter69c4,555$3,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.9518971.4%135 W · 54 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7933…4e10backed Blue Otter45c4,488$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.313053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Winthrop University45c3,321$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.227346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Winthrop University45c3,304$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.892733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Blue Otter36c3,259$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.322,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Winthrop University49c2,500$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.357957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Winthrop University65c2,468$1,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.9835058.6%205 W · 145 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Winthrop University63c2,067$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.431,82639.9%728 W · 1,098 L-61.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Winthrop University63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74035435.3%125 W · 229 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Winthrop University45c1,848$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.711338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Winthrop University62c1,600$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.152,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed Blue Otter71c1,557$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.366844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Blue Otter53c1,536$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.461,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Blue Otter59c1,502$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.1739162.7%245 W · 146 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Winthrop University34c1,488$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.321,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Winthrop University58c1,448$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.2713354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Winthrop University54c1,303$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.5666559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Winthrop University55c1,234$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.3730843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Winthrop University58c1,217$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.2982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Winthrop University43c1,185$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.162951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed Blue Otter55c1,089$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.141838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked Blue Otter37c1,080$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.5517839.3%70 W · 108 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Winthrop University55c1,051$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.271,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Blue Otter42c1,050$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43789050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Winthrop University51c1,018$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.053,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Blue Otter44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44064443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Winthrop University54c948.95$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.91,31847.3%624 W · 694 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…0935backed Blue Otter24c935.64$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Winthrop University56c908.74$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.911,97130.5%601 W · 1,370 L-170.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed Blue Otter52c900$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.9516451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Blue Otter38c833.27$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.351,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Winthrop University60c814$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.643837.9%166 W · 272 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Blue Otter49c790.28$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.731,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Winthrop University63c743.26$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.016647%31 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Blue Otter44c681.53$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.031,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d91…16abbacked Blue Otter44c678.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013456.7%76 W · 58 L+8.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02f8…2239backed Winthrop University58c665.68$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.591250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a65…c721backed Winthrop University54c614.91$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.91862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Winthrop University58c553.01$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.662451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Winthrop University36c545.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.1514136.9%52 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Winthrop University64c544.1$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.2629038.6%112 W · 178 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Winthrop University77c538.38$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.531,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Otter42c529.08$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.211,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Blue Otter36c509.41$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.11,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Winthrop University58c505.17$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.176434.4%22 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Winthrop University58c503.67$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.547247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd63f…fea7backed Winthrop University51c501.86$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Blue Otter42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21017339.3%68 W · 105 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Winthrop University61c485.52$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.4542143.9%185 W · 236 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Winthrop University53c480.8$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.872,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Winthrop University62c464.37$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6934448.3%166 W · 178 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Blue Otter34c444.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00a8…d2c8backed Blue Otter44c443.18$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Winthrop University49c434.29$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3963944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…1a8dbacked Blue Otter48c429.94$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20522751.5%117 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Winthrop University58c425$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.511428.9%33 W · 81 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Blue Otter60c407.08$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.0138157.5%219 W · 162 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Blue Otter38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15211657.8%67 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1c…f271backed Winthrop University43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.061984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick66cpaid+25.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Winthrop University53c383.95$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.740364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Blue Otter38c383.31$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6611357.5%65 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b17…d36dbacked Winthrop University64c375$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13510834.3%37 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Winthrop University64c374.5$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8539951.1%204 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a9d…6c84backed Winthrop University43c368.66$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9734438.7%133 W · 211 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Winthrop University80c355.72$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1767115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Winthrop University63c350$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12829447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Blue Otter17c335.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9923053.9%124 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Winthrop University73c304.1$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1126164.4%168 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Blue Otter42c302.38$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0355628.6%159 W · 397 L-31.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Winthrop University28c302.25$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Blue Otter20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.917738.4%68 W · 109 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Winthrop University47c294$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1638931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Blue Otter36c278$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0819758.9%116 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2764…ec08backed Winthrop University58c275.86$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.862157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Blue Otter58c260.83$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9297854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Winthrop University58c259.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.222536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Blue Otter34c254.92$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0269841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed28…87cebacked Winthrop University61c254.4$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.223138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Winthrop University52c253.69$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2320547.8%98 W · 107 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Winthrop University64c234.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3710634.9%37 W · 69 L-14.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Blue Otter56c234.14$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.961,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Winthrop University68c225.87$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6623146.8%108 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Winthrop University60c224.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.097243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x907f…27dabacked Blue Otter45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.93557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Winthrop University63c220.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.772250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8564…0306backed Blue Otter59c214.74$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.141060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c2…1e3abacked Blue Otter69c211.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453369.7%23 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb15…8569backed Winthrop University61c210.56$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5613075.4%98 W · 32 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe267…eb96backed Winthrop University60c210.04$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0410060%60 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Winthrop University57c205.62$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0726042.3%110 W · 150 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Blue Otter39c204$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5654934.8%191 W · 358 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Blue Otter39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.653932.5%175 W · 364 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Winthrop University57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Blue Otter53c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2495048.5%461 W · 489 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Winthrop University53c196.67$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7849841.6%207 W · 291 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.