TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Otterof Blue Otter, Winthrop University
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,650
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,650 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x490a…1d4bbacked Winthrop University42c5,055$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,127.2210535.2%37 W · 68 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Blue Otter59c4,006$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.1158259.5%346 W · 236 L+27.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Blue Otter58c3,711$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.4162158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Winthrop University41c3,598$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.422,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Winthrop University51c2,351$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.882,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Blue Otter56c1,656$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.371,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Blue Otter41c1,500$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8851,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Winthrop University57c1,461$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.9327957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Blue Otter58c1,378$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.61,66059.5%987 W · 673 L+97.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb039…c6d9backed Winthrop University62c1,282$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.8616451.2%84 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Blue Otter55c1,235$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.391,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbe…dc24backed Blue Otter60c1,183$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.5516646.4%77 W · 89 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Blue Otter37c1,011$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.932,18733.3%729 W · 1,458 L-71.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Blue Otter64c989.19$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8865359.4%388 W · 265 L+70.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Blue Otter57c929.82$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.8222953.7%123 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b7…c49bbacked Winthrop University47c907.36$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.2716253.7%87 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Blue Otter58c774.58$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.1336452.7%192 W · 172 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Winthrop University57c695.73$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.851,30138.6%502 W · 799 L-65.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb3…4d75backed Winthrop University46c593.5$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8660855.8%339 W · 269 L-14.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Blue Otter56c582.94$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.691,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Winthrop University61c571.94$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35024554.3%133 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Winthrop University42c543.21$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9398956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Blue Otter41c540.34$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3588950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Blue Otter56c522.51$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.262,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Blue Otter50c498.52$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8343346.7%202 W · 231 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Blue Otter79c497.48$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0513354.1%72 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed Winthrop University61c450.63$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.1769857.4%401 W · 297 L+37.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked Blue Otter50c445$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9517839.3%70 W · 108 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Winthrop University59c418.05$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.6522742.7%97 W · 130 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Winthrop University5c390.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5462942.4%267 W · 362 L-3.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Winthrop University43c376$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6819244.3%85 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Blue Otter57c341.16$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5345657.9%264 W · 192 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Blue Otter57c335.57$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.982,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Winthrop University59c331.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.7723342.9%100 W · 133 L-19.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Blue Otter39c328.97$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.671,49054.6%813 W · 677 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Blue Otter43c321$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9742451.2%217 W · 207 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…f9b2backed Blue Otter59c320.78$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.940446%186 W · 218 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Winthrop University29c314.42$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.711,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Blue Otter44c279$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.271,30147.2%614 W · 687 L-32.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Winthrop University46c278.97$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12814136.9%52 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1448…e868backed Winthrop University56c257.08$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1446334.9%22 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Winthrop University59c254.68$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15052065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Winthrop University59c254.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0123146.8%108 W · 123 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Blue Otter42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.156949.4%281 W · 288 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Blue Otter59c238$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.752,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a5…d45abacked Blue Otter43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.569852%51 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked Winthrop University46c216.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Winthrop University44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8829643.6%129 W · 167 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Blue Otter56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Winthrop University64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12819259.9%115 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Winthrop University61c195.36$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.171,38145.1%623 W · 758 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Winthrop University41c191.05$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.431,89937.1%705 W · 1,194 L-113.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Blue Otter57c172.37$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1250344.9%226 W · 277 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Winthrop University61c159.02$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9722544%99 W · 126 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Winthrop University55c158.69$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2422043.6%96 W · 124 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Blue Otter44c153.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.681,04946%483 W · 566 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Winthrop University58c150.69$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0924446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Winthrop University58c137.71$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8742044%185 W · 235 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa69…3594backed Blue Otter67c120.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.164050%20 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Winthrop University58c103$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7438931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Winthrop University56c101.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5783941%344 W · 495 L-37.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Winthrop University60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6027952%145 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Winthrop University39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3953829.4%158 W · 380 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blue Otter41c99.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7529347.8%140 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc1d…9332backed Blue Otter70c97.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.113847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Winthrop University51c92.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4733453.9%180 W · 154 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Blue Otter36c90.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.291,30049.2%639 W · 661 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Blue Otter59c89.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8244161.5%271 W · 170 L+25.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Blue Otter41c87.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.869761.9%60 W · 37 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf4…0e3dbacked Winthrop University43c86.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.057142.3%30 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Winthrop University39c84.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2684949.4%419 W · 430 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Blue Otter62c84.32$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.861,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6987…846bbacked Blue Otter60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.337367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Winthrop University40c82.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.311,04239.6%413 W · 629 L-73.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3108…47eabacked Blue Otter58c81.77$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.278758.6%51 W · 36 L+7.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Blue Otter57c81.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.971,34931.1%420 W · 929 L-128.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Blue Otter62c80.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5836151.8%187 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Blue Otter42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.435443.2%153 W · 201 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Winthrop University58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.462151.4%319 W · 302 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Winthrop University38c79.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029637.8%112 W · 184 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Blue Otter64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1341453.4%221 W · 193 L+1.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Winthrop University56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4260243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Winthrop University57c75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.754242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Winthrop University41c64.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8211152.3%58 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed Winthrop University41c61.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Blue Otter43c60.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7376028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Blue Otter59c59.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6523358.4%136 W · 97 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University38c59.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.351,91742.3%810 W · 1,107 L-44.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Winthrop University61c58.61$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7544544.9%200 W · 245 L-14.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45b2…95e2backed Winthrop University18c57.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.691926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Blue Otter44c57.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3234340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a9d…6c84backed Winthrop University45c55.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0834438.7%133 W · 211 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Winthrop University38c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.749656.3%279 W · 217 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Winthrop University59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015038.7%58 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedab…8926backed Winthrop University42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2139352.4%206 W · 187 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d47…0592backed Winthrop University20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Blue Otter55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51,72629.4%507 W · 1,219 L-124.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked Blue Otter40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3017738.4%68 W · 109 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Winthrop University61c48.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5355347%260 W · 293 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Blue Otter42c47.47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3640337.7%152 W · 251 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.