Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x695d29abea56eb246b664ae64e46ac5c4ef67a2555f72305075bf1516ece809d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Djurgardens IFof Djurgardens IF, Vasteraas SK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vasteraas SK | 58c | 890.16$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Djurgardens IF | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Djurgardens IF | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…794ebacked Djurgardens IF | 24c | 327.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.54 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Vasteraas SK | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…3f3fbacked Djurgardens IF | 24c | 190.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Djurgardens IF | 23c | 173.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Vasteraas SK | 38c | 159.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88f7backed Djurgardens IF | 25c | 104.8$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Vasteraas SK | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Vasteraas SK | 77c | 95.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Djurgardens IF | 25c | 84.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 35cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Djurgardens IF | 24c | 79.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 77.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Vasteraas SK | 75c | 72.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…4669backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 72.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Vasteraas SK | 76c | 65.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…b7e2backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Vasteraas SK | 64c | 64.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.43 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 62.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Vasteraas SK | 52c | 61.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Vasteraas SK | 57c | 60.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…4df2backed Djurgardens IF | 80c | 54.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Vasteraas SK | 77c | 47.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 42.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Vasteraas SK | 57c | 40.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 32.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Vasteraas SK | 76c | 32.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…4ebcbacked Vasteraas SK | 77c | 30.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3756…b936backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 29.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…9548backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 21.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…977abacked Vasteraas SK | 77c | 18.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503b…fa27backed Vasteraas SK | 77c | 18.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b4…635abacked Vasteraas SK | 76c | 17.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Vasteraas SK | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)this page
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.