Other European Leagues · resolved market
Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x023483cb38969faae200b217021f147439d521ab2f81792088f5d0dd1bf0e295
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Under | 55c | 5,050$2,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 45c | 5,002$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.27 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 2,608$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.45 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 57c | 2,000$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.84 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 2,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.24 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 56c | 1,790$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 1,059$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.86 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 61c | 1,033$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.08 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 910.25$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 44c | 773.87$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.37 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 43c | 490.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.46 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 13c | 487.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 57c | 368.92$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.16 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 26c | 162.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 248 | 51.6%128 W · 120 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 78c | 143.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 137.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 56c | 87.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 79.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 45c | 63.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 22c | 61.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Under | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…209dbacked Under | 57c | 55.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9b…564cbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…74a9backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Over | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 44c | 42.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…802dbacked Over | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 56c | 30.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Under | 56c | 29.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 67c | 24.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 23.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…9548backed Under | 57c | 18.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 62c | 17.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: Djurgardens IF O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: Djurgardens IF O/U 2.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-1.5)Djurgardens IF won
- Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)Djurgardens IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.