MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b9710ae196012314d995bd3bcb0626fe7596beeb663830593f87b27560df110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 20,835$9,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,852.42 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 8,066$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.92 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 4,711$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 18c | 4,617$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 2,220$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 1,206$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.26 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 1,095$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 996.79$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 909$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.67 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Washington Nationals | 65c | 894$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.1 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 858.85$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 798$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.74 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 539.56$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.73 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 508.11$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.19 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 419.74$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.88 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 392$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.16 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 333.39$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Atlanta Braves | 36c | 328.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 327$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 314.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 285$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 248.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 201.73$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 198.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 191.7$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 162.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 123.17$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 104.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…30b1backed Atlanta Braves | 41c | 97.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Washington Nationals | 33c | 97.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 88.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 80.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 69.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 61.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Washington Nationals | 18c | 60.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 52.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 50.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 49.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Atlanta Braves | 36c | 38.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 38.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atlanta Braves | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 34.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 30.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 26.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 79c | 26.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Washington Nationals | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 18.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 17.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta BravesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.