South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab56f02d4f958d72fccb2f443252fdcf2bd7cbb56f75d45bca2c5300af53124b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 37c | 10,000$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.51 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 7,277$4,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950.98 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 36c | 6,619$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.68 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 56c | 3,233$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 63c | 1,388$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.51 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 63c | 1,190$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 1,190$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 1,124$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.88 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,036$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 766.18$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 2c | 551.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 64c | 503.67$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Yes | 18c | 386.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Yes | 18c | 386.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 64c | 275.46$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 64c | 241$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…e6a7backed Yes | 38c | 197.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 177.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 64c | 171.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.82 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 64c | 158.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 63c | 147.54$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Yes | 37c | 128.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Yes | 37c | 128.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 33c | 120.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 52c | 110.72$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 64c | 109.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 64c | 91.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 88.32$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 63c | 65.91$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 63c | 63.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2620…2a78backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 64c | 46.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 64c | 28.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 37c | 27.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…2c6fbacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 64c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc292…5d50backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-02?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.