South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba83e6c21a64fc328c11f2dd0a2d0b8e60d4adc99868209d826320d3652e602b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 48c | 7,086$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.11 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 71c | 4,608$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.71 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 65c | 3,209$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.32 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 3,022$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.65 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 22c | 2,422$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.16 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 32c | 2,139$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.59 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 33c | 1,950$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.47 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,132$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 35c | 1,081$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.53 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 50c | 940$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 901.18$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.09 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 79c | 763$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.21 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 32c | 714.26$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.99 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x748d…26e2backed No | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Yes | 75c | 606.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.75 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 79c | 389.87$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Yes | 64c | 339$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 332.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 33c | 311$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.32 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 20c | 309$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Yes | 66c | 298.51$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.49 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 73c | 298.51$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…84b3backed No | 79c | 249.47$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 62c | 245.39$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.43 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes | 75c | 240.35$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 21c | 188.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 34c | 179.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 20c | 120$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 24c | 119.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Yes | 73c | 115.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 22c | 108.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 79c | 96.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Yes | 65c | 91.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 89.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 23c | 80$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 33c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 34c | 72.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 33c | 71.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 77c | 71.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 34c | 65.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 54c | 64.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 78c | 63.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 62.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Yes | 75c | 59.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 35c | 55.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 52.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…c609backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 41cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 28.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 26.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 77c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 78c | 14.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-08-02?this page
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.