TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,312
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,312 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes43c22,373$9,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,620.3418352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes42c12,947$5,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,437.622,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No58c7,852$4,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.72,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed No57c7,376$4,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.1915045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c5,900$3,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.028,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No57c4,248$2,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.8212755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed Yes37c2,633$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.4710828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c2,479$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.151,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No57c1,988$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.161,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No57c1,852$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.851,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes41c1,583$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4925133.3%17 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No60c1,098$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c826.11$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.33,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes29c759$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No57c737.59$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.981,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No58c720$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.42347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f8…ce81backed No71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f87…b872backed Yes42c692.55$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.67850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes42c574$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0831039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed No57c515.91$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.843050%15 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes37c490.81$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.298937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No57c350.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8710146.5%47 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No56c350$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1549651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f3…0becbacked Yes21c285.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No60c284.8$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.933152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes42c238$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.963,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes44c209$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1642962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8624956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.676665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No57c164.73$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8318247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes43c160.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.032,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No57c144.8$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2655946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No58c143.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes42c112.03$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0527855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Yes44c108.7$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.069860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Yes14c98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.322343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes42c97.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8534747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Yes28c94.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.799244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No56c92.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0678756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No57c87.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7125955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes44c85.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.273630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed No60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No57c83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6972058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.615128.5%43 W · 108 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No57c79.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.442462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No57c77.05$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9126465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No56c73.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5815554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed No57c70.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.176543.1%28 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No57c70.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.176561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes24c68.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No64c68.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5719040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No56c62.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.282,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2167…5dedbacked Yes42c59.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x32ee…83b0backed Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No57c58$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.941,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed No61c57.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8311861.9%73 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Yes44c56.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x193b…f6ecbacked Yes44c53.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.661662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes36c50.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2746449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f46…c530backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ef1…4a76backed No58c45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes25c44.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9842946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8664633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No54c43.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1729653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No57c43.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.838166.7%54 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f1…5b7fbacked No59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.224257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No57c39.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8716751.5%86 W · 81 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked No59c38.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1319164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No56c37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3938233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe682…dbcdbacked Yes43c32.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.753855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes43c30.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9966837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes45c29.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.074841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x62e8…a242backed No59c27.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No57c26.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3127549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No57c26.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3127349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Yes41c26.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.832626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-45.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Yes43c25.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116426.6%17 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked No57c22.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7710458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No57c20.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6341262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.620360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed No56c19.03$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.379350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No58c17.37$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.378760.9%53 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.