CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09feba50f818ba103ab6daec41ced1dad9f66fb993a02586feac174c907e9125
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof ShindeN, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9279…4748backed BESTIA | 76c | 6,410$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.19 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ShindeN | 29c | 4,084$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.69 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 74c | 1,495$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.79 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 70c | 1,424$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed ShindeN | 7c | 1,295$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked ShindeN | 7c | 1,295$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BESTIA | 74c | 999.98$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed ShindeN | 40c | 871.16$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ShindeN | 18c | 758.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed ShindeN | 20c | 670.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked ShindeN | 24c | 544$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed BESTIA | 75c | 508.1$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BESTIA | 75c | 499.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.53 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed BESTIA | 59c | 491.99$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…38ffbacked ShindeN | 31c | 413.88$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed ShindeN | 41c | 367.45$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed BESTIA | 77c | 357.15$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed ShindeN | 27c | 308$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed ShindeN | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked BESTIA | 61c | 254$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.27 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ShindeN | 27c | 228.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ShindeN | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BESTIA | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed ShindeN | 21c | 194.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BESTIA | 56c | 182$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked ShindeN | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BESTIA | 74c | 162.41$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed BESTIA | 65c | 147.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.69 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ShindeN | 33c | 123.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ShindeN | 43c | 109$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ShindeN | 24c | 102$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ShindeN | 20c | 101.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ShindeN | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed ShindeN | 40c | 92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed ShindeN | 20c | 90.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked ShindeN | 20c | 90.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked BESTIA | 62c | 81.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed BESTIA | 69c | 80.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ShindeN | 20c | 65.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed ShindeN | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed ShindeN | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked BESTIA | 79c | 62.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed ShindeN | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…c6efbacked ShindeN | 27c | 59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 189 | 39.2%74 W · 115 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ShindeN | 42c | 55.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked ShindeN | 29c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 228 | 37.3%85 W · 143 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked BESTIA | 67c | 50.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked BESTIA | 76c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…085cbacked BESTIA | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed BESTIA | 56c | 46.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ShindeN | 27c | 43.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed ShindeN | 33c | 40.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed ShindeN | 46c | 30.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed BESTIA | 66c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked BESTIA | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed BESTIA | 56c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed BESTIA | 56c | 21.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked BESTIA | 72c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked BESTIA | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BESTIA | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)BESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.