CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa38600733b47faa2913a545ad5cf69ecc47b40223dd5cab5c12026c8bd4a060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA | 35c | 740.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 34c | 338$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.58 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ShindeN | 64c | 312.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked ShindeN | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed ShindeN | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed BESTIA | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ShindeN | 67c | 116.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ShindeN | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed ShindeN | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked BESTIA | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed BESTIA | 31c | 74.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 170 | 52.4%89 W · 81 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ShindeN | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked ShindeN | 69c | 50.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed ShindeN | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked ShindeN | 36c | 47.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked ShindeN | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked ShindeN | 40c | 44.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed ShindeN | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce34…cceebacked BESTIA | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked ShindeN | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed ShindeN | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ShindeN | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ShindeN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.