Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bielsko Biala: Juliusz Bienkiewicz vs Wojciech Marek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd74746e41095b995394b184721216bf263deeedeb1c2727e0c4dbfa65d5544
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wojciech Marekof Juliusz Bienkiewicz, Wojciech Marek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 44c | 4,521$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.18 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Wojciech Marek | 57c | 2,478$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.24 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Wojciech Marek | 49c | 1,871$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.55 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Wojciech Marek | 59c | 1,563$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.61 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 41c | 1,407$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.23 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wojciech Marek | 58c | 1,177$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 1c | 1,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 44c | 472.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.09 | 240 | 52.5%126 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 43c | 444.3$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Wojciech Marek | 50c | 228.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 58c | 215.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 37c | 148.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 43c | 116.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 46c | 116$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 59c | 97.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a96…b71dbacked Wojciech Marek | 62c | 87.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…38fbbacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 60c | 85.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Wojciech Marek | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 45c | 53.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Wojciech Marek | 50c | 53.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 45c | 51.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Wojciech Marek | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…a63ebacked Juliusz Bienkiewicz | 55c | 35.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Wojciech Marek | 52c | 27.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb532…8577backed Wojciech Marek | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Wojciech Marek | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Wojciech Marek | 69c | 19.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.