TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,868

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbba2…24febacked No77c21,993$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,992.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No75c10,179$7,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,510.541,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes27c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.982920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes26c6,314$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,625.2717740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c2,853$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.283,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes23c2,599$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.2872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5754751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes24c2,104$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.9112654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes23c2,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45070249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes22c1,648$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36299340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes23c1,589$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.4753046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes23c1,395$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4916437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes25c988.33$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.528344.6%37 W · 46 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c972.12$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.8726345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Yes12c904.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.39875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No74c820.97$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4538246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No73c698.88$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.868150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes31c648.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1712667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes22c601.08$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.244348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes23c583$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.095154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c504$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes10c498.75$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.715850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No75c489.96$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7153040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes12c419.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes23c370.82$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.294245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes22c363.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Yes23c356$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.881844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No77c343.92$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.841,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes18c333.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4317753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No76c327.42$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.584158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No75c315.09$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.779268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes28c313.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7396756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No75c294$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.517244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes26c276$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1252923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes23c272.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.612653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75cf…be46backed Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked No74c263$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2a…39bdbacked No78c257.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.573100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes23c255.89$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Yes23c254.97$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.481520%3 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked Yes26c244$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.97564%48 W · 27 L+8.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes24c211.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.041,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes11c206.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.516232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed Yes33c206$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5619960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed Yes33c206$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5620660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdff2…2e27backed Yes32c206$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3916856%94 W · 74 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes23c171.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0435149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes13c168.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1119172.3%138 W · 53 L+36.8wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+41.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes23c168.04$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.659742.3%41 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Yes23c167.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.219253.3%49 W · 43 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No70c164$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.268550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No76c163.68$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1916159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No79c137.45$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2152639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No77c135$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0532848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes26c133.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick22cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No77c129$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.287367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No70c126.32$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes23c125.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9727837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes22c125$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Yes24c108.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed No76c99.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes18c99.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.417341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes25c97$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9619852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c95.79$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7480358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes28c94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.327038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed No75c93.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.333066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes23c89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No74c88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5610257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No74c84.94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2812356.9%70 W · 53 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Yes24c83.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No68c83$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3810840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes21c82.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.422946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Yes14c82.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3114657.5%84 W · 62 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No70c82$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.655750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x430b…f9e0backed No73c78.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No76c75.1$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0226450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No74c75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.4780249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes26c75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No73c73.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.687256.9%41 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.575676.8%43 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.673174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes32c66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.362777.8%21 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Yes23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.952860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf99a…df76backed No77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942657.7%15 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1520535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes33c59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7615676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Yes25c58.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.713743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes24c57.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149357%53 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No69c46.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.520252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No76c44$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.566163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No77c35.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2814957.7%86 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.220449%100 W · 104 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed No73c29.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.864050%20 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0195…9f64backed No75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff41…387abacked No73c20.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.551040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9444…d40fbacked No73c20.49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked No73c20.34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.494459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.