TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa18c…d792backed No48c12,724$6,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,616.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No44c9,665$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,372.110945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No47c5,741$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.34942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes52c5,134$2,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.821250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No50c5,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.9917740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes55c4,943$2,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.7399340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes38c4,491$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.279239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes52c4,137$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.3135550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes52c3,806$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.1233346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Yes52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes54c2,929$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.7268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No48c2,575$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.498946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes53c2,271$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Yes48c2,067$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9901747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes51c1,999$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.1612654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes34c1,985$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.4653040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes31c1,966$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.67742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+208.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes34c1,698$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5316437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No63c1,644$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.161,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed No49c1,515$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.811752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes51c1,215$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.0813952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes29c1,207$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.8252639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes37c1,200$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.0617753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes34c1,001$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6738246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No67c951.24$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.456460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes54c945.72$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.843,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes52c925.75$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.394751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes34c910$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.331,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes53c795$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.5732848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No47c790.85$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.1527837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No67c790.56$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.4718774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No72c789$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.3515676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No43c771.37$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.44348.8%21 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c718.69$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.111,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes51c699.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3573735.1%13 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes45c647.86$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.945954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No72c620.58$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.7122269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No48c599.99$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31215858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes39c589.72$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.645752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes39c506.6$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.6822946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes33c493$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.817244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked No33c450.76$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.011850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed No52c419.71$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.761844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes31c359.67$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3280249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed No38c358.51$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.28785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.52per pick33cpaid+231.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505451.9%28 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes45c323.51$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0122841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes52c320$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.42751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8818…4f5abacked Yes32c314.78$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.73520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Yes52c285.72$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391b…cf3ebacked No49c240.39$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No66c222.49$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.651080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+59.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes33c221.09$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9613464.9%87 W · 47 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x677d…4907backed Yes52c212.17$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No67c200$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.32770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9c…8927backed Yes52c196$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No48c190.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.39268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes53c190.46$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9939435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes29c183$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3820252%105 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No47c158.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c157.91$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes50c156.01$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.011127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No52c153$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed No65c152.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.27367.1%49 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No52c151.56$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.980358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Yes59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed No48c146.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.134158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No52c142.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4215051.3%77 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes34c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4710840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes33c112.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.746232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.224326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Yes34c104.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.127038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb67a…340bbacked Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.527344.3%121 W · 152 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.857341.1%30 W · 43 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes26c99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.754868.8%33 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Yes31c96.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.457045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec7…8c25backed Yes21c90.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes52c86.13$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7916948.5%82 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No45c85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7516159.6%96 W · 65 L+18.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes45c82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.916456.7%93 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x833c…ac24backed No51c77.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.484757.4%27 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed Yes31c77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.873946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No61c76.55$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404555.6%25 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed No67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-62.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Yes52c74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.481346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No50c70.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.126450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked No48c69.31$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9552923.8%126 W · 403 L-25.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes53c69.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.583040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8430735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes36c63.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.156352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked No31c63.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.55850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.