TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Spirit Academy (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, Spirit Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,700 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Nuclear TigeRES73c16,765$12,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,561.8475652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Spirit Academy27c15,725$4,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,245.645,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed Nuclear TigeRES73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5406663.6%42 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Nuclear TigeRES52c1,604$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.0635847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Spirit Academy27c1,465$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.4546555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Spirit Academy29c1,207$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Spirit Academy27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005172.5%37 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spirit Academy50c1,016$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.9769445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Nuclear TigeRES50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50027438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Nuclear TigeRES73c999.99$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27016544.8%74 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Nuclear TigeRES72c954.15$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1626360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Spirit Academy28c942.64$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9459755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Nuclear TigeRES73c908.03$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1757641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Spirit Academy27c810.64$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.052,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Spirit Academy27c785.19$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124271.4%30 W · 12 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d25…0f79backed Spirit Academy27c703.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905450%27 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Spirit Academy49c674.97$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.043,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Spirit Academy29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1745,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Nuclear TigeRES73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1621,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Nuclear TigeRES73c596.08$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.9461154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit Academy50c537.48$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.747,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Nuclear TigeRES71c525.83$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.492,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4b…1222backed Spirit Academy27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354555.6%25 W · 20 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Spirit Academy46c478.24$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.765,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d39…5408backed Nuclear TigeRES74c400$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Spirit Academy27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed Spirit Academy29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0555941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Spirit Academy26c303.17$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7728843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nuclear TigeRES73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8199148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Spirit Academy29c280$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.21,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Nuclear TigeRES73c272.6$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.65662.5%35 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Spirit Academy66c251.89$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2549941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e5a…2afdbacked Spirit Academy17c249.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.92123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit Academy38c239.4$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.836,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8f…2aeebacked Spirit Academy45c227.2$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.334837.5%18 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Spirit Academy27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6083856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Spirit Academy29c220$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.832463%204 W · 120 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Nuclear TigeRES72c207.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.318641.9%36 W · 50 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Nuclear TigeRES73c205.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5844552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Nuclear TigeRES55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES46c194.75$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.534,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Spirit Academy22c181.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.162,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…35c7backed Spirit Academy34c177.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Spirit Academy46c154.42$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5920755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Nuclear TigeRES72c144$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3219849%97 W · 101 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Spirit Academy50c142.45$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2314443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e7…6036backed Nuclear TigeRES74c133.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.681758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Nuclear TigeRES72c131$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9648851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0868…efe8backed Spirit Academy19c129$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.267837.2%29 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Spirit Academy50c117.55$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.264,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8ef…f7a1backed Nuclear TigeRES74c110.96$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1713358.6%78 W · 55 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Spirit Academy13c107.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9369732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spirit Academy29c103.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.94,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nuclear TigeRES60c103$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.792,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Nuclear TigeRES70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3085851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nuclear TigeRES67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Nuclear TigeRES45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555850%29 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cf…e58cbacked Nuclear TigeRES55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nuclear TigeRES51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Nuclear TigeRES72c94.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3832458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Spirit Academy53c91.64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.73,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Nuclear TigeRES71c89.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Spirit Academy34c77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1122837.3%85 W · 143 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Spirit Academy27c75.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4742255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked Spirit Academy28c66.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.744252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c21…c02bbacked Nuclear TigeRES32c66.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6511734.2%40 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Nuclear TigeRES73c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.554146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a14…be99backed Nuclear TigeRES66c60.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.452437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Nuclear TigeRES72c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.867750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c24…8382backed Spirit Academy29c58.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Spirit Academy50c56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2819953.8%107 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked Spirit Academy27c55.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511761.5%72 W · 45 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Nuclear TigeRES71c54.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9515954.1%86 W · 73 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Spirit Academy37c54.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.312,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Nuclear TigeRES53c53.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Spirit Academy36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.922,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit Academy40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.994,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Nuclear TigeRES72c49.78$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9413050.8%66 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuclear TigeRES49c47.86$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.363,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Nuclear TigeRES71c46.67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5310560%63 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2055…1488backed Nuclear TigeRES78c45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Nuclear TigeRES72c41.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.669157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Nuclear TigeRES72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28648.8%42 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Nuclear TigeRES26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.848943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf066…3349backed Spirit Academy37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.873253.1%17 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fab…9a70backed Nuclear TigeRES63c39.83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.835286.5%45 W · 7 L+9.9wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+27.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1273…8eddbacked Nuclear TigeRES74c39.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2820957.4%120 W · 89 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked Nuclear TigeRES76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.473852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9266…a9d3backed Nuclear TigeRES73c36.74$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.937657.9%44 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Spirit Academy53c36.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2520447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…764ebacked Spirit Academy28c35.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.087550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce5…309cbacked Spirit Academy51c35.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188625.6%22 W · 64 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Nuclear TigeRES61c33.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.951755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0c…a691backed Nuclear TigeRES69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9221650.5%109 W · 107 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES64c30.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.085,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa5a…edf2backed Nuclear TigeRES74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Spirit Academy48c25.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5349850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Nuclear TigeRES70c24.94$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.636440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfd2c…acc2backed Nuclear TigeRES74c24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…333bbacked Spirit Academy54c22.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.