Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x431aa0a0067b24ccb22f403bda405be931e0e8bca2bafde884883e35abeb8bfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0a7…674dbacked Yes | 16c | 2,421$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 65c | 1,953$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.18 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 39c | 1,613$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.47 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 6c | 721.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 606.34$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…94d7backed Yes | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 199.46$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 69c | 176.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…6f1fbacked Yes | 21c | 156.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 79c | 98.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked No | 41c | 96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 27c | 72.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 43c | 64.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 62c | 56.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 31c | 41.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 35.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 58c | 34.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 32.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…473ebacked No | 70c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 80c | 20.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 57c | 19.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79 end in a draw?this page
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.