Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5657f84252fb7a2c4d8a96fd09cc4293480ab3f6881dd93df3f03160c16805f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 40c | 5,880$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.71 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 60c | 2,029$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.4 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 40c | 1,775$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…285cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 958.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 60c | 737.45$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.52 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 77c | 500$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5af3…1534backed Yes | 28c | 474.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 60c | 338.94$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 67c | 309.89$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 267.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 208$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 60c | 208$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 24c | 205$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 40c | 195.43$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.17 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 61c | 134.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 117.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 60c | 106$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 77c | 98.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 77c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 59c | 96.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 82.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 32c | 82.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed Yes | 25c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 79c | 74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 38c | 68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2f…06bebacked Yes | 41c | 63.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…573abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed No | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 41c | 30.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 60c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.