Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc857a74e8f7fdfca2d2d634b134426c532aee742fe1d7ef9a63704479b86dbac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 6c | 3,077$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.41 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 3,043$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 79c | 2,870$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.42 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 23c | 1,497$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.66 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 40c | 1,440$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.49 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 37c | 1,200$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.78 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 16c | 960.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.79 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 625.45$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 64c | 516.49$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 492.72$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 75c | 201.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 36c | 166.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 59c | 159$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.45 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 156.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 20c | 153.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 13c | 153$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 37c | 135.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked No | 28c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 105$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 60c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 20c | 92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 59c | 81.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Yes | 75c | 77.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 18c | 77.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 59c | 68.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 70c | 66.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60bd…2469backed No | 17c | 65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +501.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 63c | 60.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 37c | 59.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 52c | 57.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 36c | 56.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Yes | 70c | 53.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Yes | 55c | 52.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 61c | 47.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 24c | 44.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 42c | 41.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed Yes | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 38c | 34.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 32c | 31.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 72c | 25.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 60c | 22.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed No | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af6…842ebacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.