Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aalesunds FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6ffd797bd56bf017643b949030fd8d559fcc708a263b8b5b74a3ede4fcbee64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,534$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 4c | 1,400$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abe…84cebacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,092$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.37 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5044…f67fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 22c | 904.11$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.11 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 890.56$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.92 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 826.28$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.71 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 593.24$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.39 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 408.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 10c | 241.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3341…d7e4backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…4ee7backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…cdebbacked No | 16c | 129.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 25cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 76c | 106$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 73c | 105.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 54c | 93.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 59c | 79$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 21c | 74.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 77c | 68.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 62c | 60.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 70c | 42.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 41.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…db9fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 76c | 37.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 48c | 31.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 68c | 31.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 46c | 31.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x92b9…eb9dbacked Yes | 57c | 22.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 76c | 22.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 76c | 16.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 79c | 14.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…4715backed No | 76c | 13.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aalesunds FK vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.