South American Leagues · resolved market
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa3c25846fd7e2e04f1a31b21b4a8d8feb52ef75534535c53e4b1a7f1f8c23c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed No | 2c | 6,568$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed No | 66c | 5,217$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.15 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 3,939$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed No | 18c | 3,064$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.6 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 2,057$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked No | 4c | 1,844$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 57c | 1,461$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.68 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,325$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.22 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 3c | 828.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 3c | 666.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3840…93ffbacked Yes | 23c | 644.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 23c | 514.6$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.72 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 481$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.37 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 19c | 400$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 73c | 342.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…1e72backed Yes | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 292.93$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.88 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9aa…3cfdbacked No | 78c | 218.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 8c | 210$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 175.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 68c | 162.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 9c | 131.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…f521backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 77c | 129.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0928…09fabacked No | 79c | 126.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 118.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 78c | 106.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 102.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 78c | 100.76$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 22c | 97.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa29c…0a3dbacked Yes | 24c | 96.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651e…567bbacked Yes | 22c | 89.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 39c | 83.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…68f9backed Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 78c | 81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 78c | 74.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 22c | 69.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 39c | 66.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fae…9038backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 77c | 59.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 20c | 57.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed No | 75c | 52.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a77…573abacked Yes | 19c | 52.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…db4cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 21c | 48.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…0c08backed No | 79c | 45.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…77aabacked No | 79c | 43.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed No | 75c | 39.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 79c | 38.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 38.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 39c | 38.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 37.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 78c | 34.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Yes | 73c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed No | 79c | 32.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 80c | 31.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…e755backed No | 50c | 30.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…f0a2backed No | 79c | 27.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 78c | 27.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…cea5backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 76c | 25.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0893…b132backed No | 79c | 25.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 79c | 20.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked No | 76c | 19.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.