South American Leagues · resolved market
Will O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bcf46e44e8b92d46d5040f7b903044d756d5e675181fa69ab32764d3a47495f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 66c | 11,502$7,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,965.01 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 34c | 6,398$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…f521backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 1,010$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.07 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 1,006$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…d93bbacked No | 72c | 412.65$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 34c | 380.38$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 34c | 363.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 313.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 34c | 244$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 16c | 189.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 71c | 176.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…01e5backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 16c | 97.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…dceabacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 65.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…68f9backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Yes | 33c | 60.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 29c | 53.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126d…32a5backed Yes | 46c | 46.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 36c | 34.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 72c | 14.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will O'Higgins FC vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.