TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,431 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2e25…d49ebacked Yes49c8,169$3,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,983.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes50c5,229$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.53821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked No50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c4,497$2,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,803.581,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes30c4,133$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.9440242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c3,685$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.778,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No50c2,949$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.432161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No51c2,292$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.941,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes44c2,010$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.8575240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes50c1,946$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Yes46c1,286$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5939920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c1,200$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.673,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c1,162$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.351,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed No51c976$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.2412754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No49c966.04$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.7426835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No52c800$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.621,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c800$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.621,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c799.02$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.582,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No50c637.85$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.9312755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No51c474.51$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.517959.5%47 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No51c450$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6441654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Yes50c350.06$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1757463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6865…6033backed No50c307.5$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No50c304.26$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.131,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No50c297$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.1531039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes49c254.91$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.911758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No51c242.14$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.391,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No49c240.04$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.423073.3%22 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+55.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c229.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.095,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c205.5$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.033,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe940…5ff5backed Yes50c175$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes48c155.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c155$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.732,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed No66c151.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.462766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…c70bbacked No51c134.64$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.974362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes38c126.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9612331.7%39 W · 84 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c121.7$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.431,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb886…893abacked No50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+60.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed No65c115.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.672272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes50c106$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5319543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508046.3%37 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911059.1%65 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes27c96.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7524535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes49c85.8$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.045154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes49c84.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6178756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3f…eadfbacked Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No51c77.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8842462.3%264 W · 160 L+24.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed No78c77.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.129244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No52c68.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1229653%157 W · 139 L+1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed No51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.632334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes48c68.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7131136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes43c67.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.841,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…df77backed Yes50c63.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked No66c62.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.11866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes31c62.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked No50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.115554.2%84 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes49c55.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.154841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes43c52.05$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2995155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked No65c50.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.582975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes39c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.450643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.548547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a9c…0f59backed Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x979c…2ab3backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed No64c49.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7546449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…d53abacked Yes51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2564633.1%214 W · 432 L-24.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No51c47.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.422,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes52c43.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9750656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed No60c43.66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.256256.5%35 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbef0…69c8backed Yes39c43.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173225%8 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes52c42.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228569.4%59 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes52c40.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0769453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed7…50f6backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ff…cf90backed No51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.221866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes50c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes46c32.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…573abacked Yes50c31.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7fd…4bf2backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes49c29.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3655946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5c9…a4fcbacked No51c29.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.236451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No56c25.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2527442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed No52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1214563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa77b…9bbcbacked Yes46c23.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed No63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.814259.5%25 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-6.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5953…192fbacked No51c23.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.55966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf755…cea5backed Yes53c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa29c…0a3dbacked Yes51c21.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb59…d1a7backed Yes50c21.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.62356.5%13 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011140.5%45 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8969…2a77backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed16…b02bbacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86471.9%46 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.