TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Lexus Eastbourne Open: Janice Tjen vs Caty McNally

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Caty McNallyof Janice Tjen, Caty McNally
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$530,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$551,397

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Janice Tjen29c30,111$8,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,635.0593740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Caty McNally75c20,065$15,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,002.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Caty McNally65c19,252$12,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,702.4836145.2%163 W · 198 L-19.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Caty McNally73c15,709$11,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,195.9856651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Janice Tjen21c9,216$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.381,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1032…c372backed Janice Tjen24c8,805$2,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.131118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Janice Tjen34c8,714$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac7…78ebbacked Caty McNally68c5,882$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,882.358153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Janice Tjen37c5,100$1,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.2645036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Janice Tjen32c4,630$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013048.5%63 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Caty McNally74c4,074$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0656,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Caty McNally75c3,320$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.621,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Janice Tjen52c3,288$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Janice Tjen26c3,018$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.9668935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Janice Tjen19c2,597$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.048,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Janice Tjen29c2,352$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.0811048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Janice Tjen21c2,101$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.7945737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Caty McNally79c2,015$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.664,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Janice Tjen11c1,957$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2814134%48 W · 93 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Janice Tjen15c1,955$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.842,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Janice Tjen26c1,909$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.993,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Caty McNally67c1,899$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.544,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Caty McNally75c1,660$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.065,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Janice Tjen26c1,629$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.1328237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Janice Tjen26c1,600$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9943743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Janice Tjen20c1,536$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.2858021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Janice Tjen27c1,505$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.366,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Janice Tjen14c1,458$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.051,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Caty McNally44c1,396$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.772,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Janice Tjen11c1,364$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Caty McNally72c1,314$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.583,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Caty McNally71c1,310$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.74,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Janice Tjen43c1,303$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5644639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca4…348fbacked Caty McNally77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.729443.5%128 W · 166 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Caty McNally75c1,236$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.164,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Janice Tjen29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035955.7%200 W · 159 L+20.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Caty McNally60c1,034$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.43,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Janice Tjen29c1,029$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30046453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Janice Tjen19c1,028$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.061,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Janice Tjen46c1,000$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46266831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…698cbacked Janice Tjen24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24021046.2%97 W · 113 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Janice Tjen28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.372,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Caty McNally56c998.4$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.229,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fce…8e13backed Caty McNally72c930.65$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Janice Tjen43c910.32$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4417941.3%74 W · 105 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Janice Tjen17c905.59$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15113743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Janice Tjen24c886.45$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.754,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Janice Tjen24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027732.5%90 W · 187 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Janice Tjen26c805.6$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.7292237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Janice Tjen25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Janice Tjen26c793.19$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.231,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8623…34a6backed Janice Tjen23c778.01$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.832425%6 W · 18 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Caty McNally79c762.6$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.611064.5%71 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Janice Tjen27c711.78$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5396945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Janice Tjen17c677.08$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.874,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Janice Tjen28c643.88$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Janice Tjen23c641.45$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8385449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Janice Tjen40c634.74$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.831647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…d2a3backed Caty McNally72c610.74$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134f…2b5dbacked Janice Tjen57c600.14$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34517044.1%75 W · 95 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Janice Tjen25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Janice Tjen11c592.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2844018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Caty McNally74c583.75$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.358,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Janice Tjen26c554.03$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.0548842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Janice Tjen27c545$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.172755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Janice Tjen32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Janice Tjen34c499.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Janice Tjen28c492.85$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Janice Tjen13c484.96$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5170729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Janice Tjen43c467.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Janice Tjen47c460.06$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3196035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Caty McNally55c441.05$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.618045%36 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Caty McNally66c409.78$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8160446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Caty McNally52c406$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7411443.9%50 W · 64 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Janice Tjen27c404.3$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.331,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d6…423dbacked Caty McNally71c400$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1187240.3%29 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Janice Tjen17c394.04$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.561,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26bd…a06dbacked Caty McNally74c377.75$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.52356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked Caty McNally66c360.94$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.9421964.8%142 W · 77 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Caty McNally58c341.09$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.441,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Janice Tjen27c337.41$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4922246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Caty McNally67c320.12$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6411149.5%55 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Janice Tjen29c315.61$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5387251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Caty McNally78c297.2$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.222,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Caty McNally71c282$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7814357.3%82 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Janice Tjen28c280$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7639…6563backed Caty McNally79c279.49$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.391457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Janice Tjen36c278.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4430749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf2b…fb88backed Janice Tjen17c248.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.274963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Janice Tjen18c248.56$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.541,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Caty McNally45c248$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5515340.5%62 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Janice Tjen9c242$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7862727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Janice Tjen17c240.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4213634.6%47 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Janice Tjen12c230.37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0727528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Caty McNally63c229$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3210036%36 W · 64 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Janice Tjen27c227.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.632,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Janice Tjen17c227.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6438952.2%203 W · 186 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad5…ccdebacked Janice Tjen33c225.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4655032.7%180 W · 370 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Caty McNally43c220.93$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.9378857.1%450 W · 338 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Janice Tjen15c212.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3774439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.