Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b10083131807b3974978287dbb21e48436e5a1062df7ef2a56018d1ea9e0404
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 4,823$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.02 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 2,274$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.49 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,204$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.05 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 907.59$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 31c | 569.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 18c | 522.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 10c | 500.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.01 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 29c | 472$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 471.1$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 462.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 7c | 398.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +198.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 326.36$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.65 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…2922backed Yes | 10c | 307.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…4720backed Yes | 42c | 240.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 10c | 216.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 27c | 187.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 40c | 144.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Yes | 29c | 135.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…85c8backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 14c | 98.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 90.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 71c | 82.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 20c | 80.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 17c | 63.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 27c | 62.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 28c | 35.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…d1a7backed No | 72c | 33.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 70c | 23.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 70c | 15.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-22?Yes won
- Will Neftçi PFK win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.