Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cad142db68702d0f2d92c6a1e738d5a22bead8c2b90de5d2329db4b95c90ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed No | 0c | 45,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed No | 21c | 7,713$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 5,363$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 80c | 5,000$3,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,984.66 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 4,920$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.09 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 4,622$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.77 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 13c | 4,174$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,633.49 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 68c | 2,981$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.32 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,769$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 1,784$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.62 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed No | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 2c | 1,321$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 18c | 1,203$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.46 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…2c16backed Yes | 4c | 1,121$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +187.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 21c | 1,096$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.62 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 3c | 979.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.27 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 19c | 921.96$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.88 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 21c | 907.43$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.1 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 42c | 895.14$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.97 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 48c | 818.3$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.42 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…1eebbacked Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 2c | 720.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +198.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes | 6c | 706.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 19c | 633.55$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.18 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Yes | 70c | 623.9$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No | 14c | 487.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfd…a4a0backed No | 79c | 378.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 41c | 365$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 21c | 364.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.56 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 61c | 354.62$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.78 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 44c | 331.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 27c | 329.91$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 21c | 324$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.67 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked No | 79c | 270$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed No | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked No | 31c | 235.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01db…2922backed Yes | 8c | 225.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Yes | 22c | 187.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 64c | 186.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 21c | 185.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.05 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 80c | 163.01$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 21c | 155.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 22c | 139.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 31c | 137.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 19c | 131.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 79c | 118.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a9…5950backed Yes | 21c | 111.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 59c | 98.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 21c | 92.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 83.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Yes | 21c | 69.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 48c | 50.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed No | 48c | 50.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked No | 48c | 49.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 22c | 47.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +88%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 43.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked No | 26c | 39.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed No | 36c | 39.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 77cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked No | 80c | 36.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked No | 37c | 34.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5507…1dcebacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8b…b723backed Yes | 67c | 29.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7062…9f54backed No | 78c | 25.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked No | 80c | 25.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 21.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 14.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…4f55backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-22?this page
- Will Neftçi PFK vs. FK Dynama-Minsk end in a draw?No won
- Will Neftçi PFK win on 2026-07-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.