La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón vs. UD Almería end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b741637fe49371c133777dfe990b7f2b59eca0fa531c62d8dd499d9dc04c809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 74c | 3,052$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.59 | 137 | 44.5%61 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 2,588$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.67 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 806.28$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.83 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 18c | 508.33$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 28c | 357.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 75c | 334$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 325$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 234.4$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 25c | 208$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 75c | 200.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.31 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 162$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 99.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 26c | 76.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 75.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 33c | 65.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 56c | 52.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 51.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 69c | 49.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…0a18backed No | 76c | 33.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 595 | 55.5%330 W · 265 L | +31.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 77c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 76c | 18.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 18.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 18.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 73c | 14.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón vs. UD Almería end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.