La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb3ad7c653c6a7e09a68e4d247f34344e1435b39304e558013d9c9db7f51c86e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 22c | 3,227$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 2,908$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.15 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,299$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.17 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 23c | 1,135$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.16 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 24c | 674$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 78c | 245.08$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 11c | 127.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 18c | 120.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b8…3eb6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…3d7fbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 99.49$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed No | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 67c | 37.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…662ebacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 77c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 77c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-06?this page
- Will CD Castellón vs. UD Almería end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-06-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.