NFL · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46f6c75e9f8c7e1fc82f23de712875820c12feda2e9e8033f67fa083f16237b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Cardinals, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Raiders | 60c | 91,891$55,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,494.19 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cardinals | 42c | 50,605$21,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,513 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Raiders | 3c | 22,600$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.77 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cardinals | 39c | 12,169$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,432.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cardinals | 39c | 10,710$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,497.09 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cardinals | 39c | 4,539$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.79 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Raiders | 61c | 4,057$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cardinals | 41c | 3,517$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.3 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 39c | 3,205$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.05 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Cardinals | 41c | 2,348$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 64c | 2,345$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.78 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cardinals | 40c | 2,264$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.04 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Cardinals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Cardinals | 46c | 1,898$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.08 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Raiders | 57c | 1,892$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…1c6abacked Cardinals | 41c | 1,804$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Raiders | 58c | 1,528$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.02 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Raiders | 57c | 1,430$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.68 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Cardinals | 75c | 1,413$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.19 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Raiders | 39c | 1,236$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.56 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Raiders | 14c | 1,234$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,179$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.34 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Raiders | 62c | 1,024$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Raiders | 57c | 794.09$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.55 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raiders | 34c | 788.94$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.28 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cardinals | 39c | 641.74$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Raiders | 60c | 491.8$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Cardinals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Raiders | 34c | 437.66$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cardinals | 39c | 411.74$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Cardinals | 39c | 391.87$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Raiders | 8c | 368.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Raiders | 37c | 349.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cardinals | 44c | 333.29$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.64 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Raiders | 19c | 330.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Raiders | 59c | 312$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Cardinals | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Raiders | 16c | 290.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Raiders | 12c | 257.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cardinals | 42c | 253.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Raiders | 55c | 220.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Raiders | 55c | 220.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…f266backed Raiders | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Raiders | 58c | 211.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cardinals | 39c | 211$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Raiders | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Cardinals | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Raiders | 58c | 197$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.26 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Raiders | 23c | 190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Raiders | 48c | 178.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 39c | 177.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Cardinals | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Raiders | 33c | 168.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.73 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…efe7backed Raiders | 60c | 163.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Cardinals | 39c | 161.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked Raiders | 62c | 153$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…5dcebacked Cardinals | 55c | 147.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Raiders | 39c | 143.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…a087backed Raiders | 60c | 141.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Cardinals | 40c | 129.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Cardinals | 39c | 125.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ff9fbacked Raiders | 56c | 124.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Cardinals | 40c | 121.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Raiders | 41c | 121.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Raiders | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.49per pick | 11cpaid | +538.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Raiders | 55c | 114.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…5e84backed Raiders | 27c | 113.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Raiders | 34c | 109.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Raiders | 52c | 108.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Cardinals | 38c | 102.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Cardinals | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…e333backed Raiders | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Raiders | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Raiders | 25c | 99.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Raiders | 57c | 99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Cardinals | 39c | 90.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Cardinals | 46c | 86.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Cardinals | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Cardinals | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Raiders | 34c | 78.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Raiders | 53c | 74.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Raiders | 66c | 74.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Raiders | 49c | 74.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Raiders | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…0044backed Cardinals | 45c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Raiders | 62c | 65.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Raiders | 34c | 64.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x992d…75b7backed Cardinals | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Raiders | 61c | 63.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Raiders | 54c | 60.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cardinals | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Cardinals | 39c | 57.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Cardinals | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Cardinals | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Cardinals | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd6…930fbacked Cardinals | 56c | 50.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Cardinals | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Raidersthis page
- ARI vs. LV: O/U 39.5Over won
- ARI vs. LV: O/U 40.5Over won
- ARI vs. LV: O/U 41.5Under won
- ARI vs. LV: O/U 42.5Under won
- Cardinals vs. Raiders: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Spread: LV (-1.5)ARI won
- Spread: LV (-2.5)ARI won
- Spread: LV (-3.5)ARI won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.