Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd688a2da8f754fa68993c829c5d7cd8468103786c3a8920f854070dce404175b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 16c | 4,383$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.9 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 77c | 3,231$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.98 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 77c | 2,854$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.73 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 879.79$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 875.31$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 783.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 456.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.83 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 452.5$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…c55dbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 24c | 383.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 24c | 337$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 24c | 261.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 17c | 250.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 8c | 236.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 18c | 223.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 205$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…cb3fbacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes | 25c | 142.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 76c | 139.97$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes | 17c | 110.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 76c | 98.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 24c | 73.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 24c | 54.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 24c | 46.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…6f29backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df7…7f76backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 78c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 77c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…fa42backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,109 | 46.2%512 W · 597 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…c338backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.