Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee72333441c42294dd753703e3b38d28f1f0a542ddb896826656fa430599f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 35c | 2,183$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 2,110$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,186$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 1,134$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.19 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 1,061$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.48 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 768.43$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 4c | 767.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Yes | 36c | 735.25$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 685.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.97 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 519.59$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.86 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 7c | 490$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 36c | 421.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…728fbacked Yes | 31c | 319.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…aa02backed Yes | 37c | 264.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 66c | 245.82$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 38c | 194.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 159.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Yes | 35c | 140.32$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 129.63$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 35c | 92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 63c | 89.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a5…799ebacked Yes | 26c | 88.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a9…4718backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 37c | 73.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 22c | 73.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Yes | 30c | 59.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 73c | 54.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.20per pick | 71cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 72c | 51.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed No | 65c | 48.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…4623backed Yes | 23c | 44.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 69c | 44.28$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 36c | 29.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 65c | 21.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 77c | 17.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 79c | 16.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 65c | 16.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 13.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-07-25?this page
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.