Asian League · resolved market
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb22ad4f668e5f33c7351ad577e88519a20ed3e7fa10309f5c1f1beb6cb00d1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 10c | 2,424$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.52 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 802.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.91 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 10c | 597.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.2 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 57c | 519.8$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.31 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Under | 29c | 517$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 75c | 502.66$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.48 | 197 | 65.5%129 W · 68 L | +27.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 63c | 461.03$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.45 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…23febacked Under | 3c | 403.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec7…79babacked Under | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…7e92backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…6849backed Over | 51c | 285.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Over | 49c | 227.84$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 224.44$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.17 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…a6cebacked Over | 47c | 213.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 184.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 61c | 162.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…1688backed Over | 40c | 155.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +84%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 71c | 155.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 117 | 64.1%75 W · 42 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Over | 9c | 151.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 50c | 138.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 130.03$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 102$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…7b6cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 28c | 85.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 78.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 41c | 69.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Under | 17c | 67.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 75c | 64.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 37c | 49.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 75c | 17.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 63c | 16.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.