Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x830064524636f41ffa396268bcb34e5887a54b3e994aad46a63ac2924c9efcbf

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $130,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $116,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,285 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	6c	26,883$1,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,569.03	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Yes	0c	21,000$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	2c	8,277$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.31	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	2c	5,649$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.07	405	15.3%62 W · 343 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	12cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	4c	2,545$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.54	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	2c	2,193$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.76	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes	2c	2,037$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.63	218	7.3%16 W · 202 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes	13c	1,955$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes	10c	1,546$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	316	11.4%36 W · 280 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	360	23.6%85 W · 275 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08d8…fe20backed Yes	15c	1,322$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.06	63	63.5%40 W · 23 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	9c	1,132$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…f4c5backed Yes	9c	1,102$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	5c	1,097$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.59	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes	9c	1,055$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.23	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…5861backed Yes	33c	1,012$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	176	36.4%64 W · 112 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	151	44.4%67 W · 84 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No	80c	899.03$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.29	176	29%51 W · 125 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…836dbacked Yes	2c	850$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…be19backed Yes	5c	846.89$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	323	12.1%39 W · 284 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes	9c	843.36$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.68	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-43%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No	80c	640.42$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.35	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x835e…c209backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	55	14.5%8 W · 47 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf48…d8c6backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	99	25.3%25 W · 74 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes	17c	499.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	54	66.7%36 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No	74c	468.99$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.77	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Yes	7c	423.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+19.7wins	+0.16per pick	40cpaid	+69.1%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Yes	7c	423.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+20.4wins	+0.19per pick	43cpaid	+66.4%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xfa1d…c957backed Yes	10c	401.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	59	22%13 W · 46 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes	8c	399.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	208	25%52 W · 156 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f0…76f1backed Yes	19c	399.97$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.59	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes	9c	359.28$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	346.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes	9c	337.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	143	29.4%42 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9f…164dbacked Yes	30c	333.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes	30c	331.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	31.1%52 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda55…1534backed Yes	34c	327.38$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes	4c	304.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.17	104	26%27 W · 77 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes	25c	294.55$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.96	173	29.5%51 W · 122 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Yes	35c	288.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	203	54.7%111 W · 92 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabef…1819backed Yes	16c	286.26$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.18	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea2…0f20backed Yes	9c	284.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes	31c	229.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	281	27.8%78 W · 203 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes	7c	212.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+34.7wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+61%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x6c80…6ff1backed Yes	33c	200$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.4	284	39.1%111 W · 173 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	31c	189.22$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.87	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe230…6d00backed Yes	9c	189$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.63	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ad…2548backed Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	40.9%18 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce9…029fbacked Yes	30c	153.04$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.22	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca4d…5b1dbacked Yes	30c	151.87$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.3	81	16%13 W · 68 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes	26c	150$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.55	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…4760backed Yes	20c	147.51$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc2…b720backed Yes	32c	125.39$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes	27c	122.5$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.59	326	39%127 W · 199 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1134…572abacked Yes	38c	107.89$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.44	104	16.3%17 W · 87 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7153…99bfbacked Yes	48c	103.52$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c0…1506backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.9	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x286a…7136backed Yes	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60ca…bc8cbacked Yes	15c	99.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	18cpaid	+59.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ad…294bbacked Yes	21c	96.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	112	25%28 W · 84 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…e650backed Yes	33c	92.02$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ca…8f0dbacked Yes	34c	76.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	126	35.7%45 W · 81 L	-11.5wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8431…bd3abacked Yes	28c	70.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0788…c287backed Yes	19c	64.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	184	17.4%32 W · 152 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No	77c	56.83$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.97	357	34.5%123 W · 234 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f04…4e5fbacked Yes	35c	53.92$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+183.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes	30c	53.79$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked Yes	27c	50$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.35	131	42.7%56 W · 75 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cad…73a5backed Yes	27c	48.62$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb22…fd19backed Yes	33c	44.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x194e…8ca5backed Yes	34c	44.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1687…74b1backed Yes	35c	43.05$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd2…3c02backed Yes	48c	42.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	15.4%6 W · 33 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes	31c	38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.78	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa96d…1818backed Yes	30c	37.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1144…4b04backed No	80c	31.58$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03f…ae7ebacked Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d72…d81dbacked Yes	46c	28.19$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?Yes won
Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event