Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77b34be87a27b317f43cd2fb9330e5615aab2656538a790b146496949a9d261c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x092f…2ff1backed Yes | 0c | 91,349$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 15.8%19 W · 101 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 2c | 12,589$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,040$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 7c | 3,359$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.33 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 2,308$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6b…8115backed Yes | 3c | 1,880$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 229 | 14%32 W · 197 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,621$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6745…232abacked Yes | 4c | 1,339$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 1,032$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 3c | 1,014$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…e8c1backed Yes | 3c | 909.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 798.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…a568backed Yes | 7c | 676.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…cafbbacked Yes | 2c | 617.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 600$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…5a84backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8327…ef4abacked Yes | 3c | 413.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 4c | 404.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…17e6backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 13c | 317.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…4e4dbacked Yes | 11c | 312$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9b2fbacked Yes | 3c | 296.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd963…fd5abacked Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…dde6backed Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 132 | 6.8%9 W · 123 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 7c | 210.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b94…9c54backed Yes | 7c | 208.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9d…c720backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 11c | 189.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 161.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…7840backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?Yes won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?No won
- Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.