Tennis · resolved market
ITF Caserta: Alessandra Mazzola vs Aurora Zantedeschi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3189e6127239d9ad4875a72fe0168a77bb4a0f4f17e87f161fb0d15b17abb0c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alessandra Mazzolaof Alessandra Mazzola, Aurora Zantedeschi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alessandra Mazzola | 15c | 8,916$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,544.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alessandra Mazzola | 12c | 5,409$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,747.18 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…492dbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 4c | 3,740$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +936.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Alessandra Mazzola | 15c | 3,614$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.11 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alessandra Mazzola | 12c | 3,178$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.65 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked Alessandra Mazzola | 4c | 3,130$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.89 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +7.1wins | +0.42per pick | 11cpaid | +342.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Alessandra Mazzola | 6c | 2,500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Alessandra Mazzola | 9c | 2,285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Alessandra Mazzola | 16c | 2,001$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.53 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44f…fff1backed Alessandra Mazzola | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 4cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Alessandra Mazzola | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 6c | 1,422$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…30f7backed Alessandra Mazzola | 7c | 1,400$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +255.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed Alessandra Mazzola | 6c | 1,340$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.45per pick | 11cpaid | +334.9%equal weight | 69+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…4a4abacked Alessandra Mazzola | 6c | 1,320$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.22per pick | 23cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed Alessandra Mazzola | 6c | 1,320$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.48per pick | 12cpaid | +538.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 7c | 1,100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Alessandra Mazzola | 7c | 1,100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +212%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 14c | 1,000$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Alessandra Mazzola | 14c | 1,000$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Alessandra Mazzola | 14c | 1,000$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 17cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 14c | 1,000$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 16cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alessandra Mazzola | 15c | 945$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.36 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 58c | 818.82$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.31 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 50c | 703.05$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.47 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Alessandra Mazzola | 7c | 650$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.5 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Alessandra Mazzola | 50c | 600.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.88 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alessandra Mazzola | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 44c | 593$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.24 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alessandra Mazzola | 17c | 524.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.05 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Alessandra Mazzola | 15c | 487.7$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.55 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 15c | 476.68$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.18 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alessandra Mazzola | 15c | 441.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.76 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 43c | 342$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 17c | 320$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.4 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Alessandra Mazzola | 17c | 274$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Alessandra Mazzola | 17c | 274$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Alessandra Mazzola | 17c | 274$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b1…e9c3backed Alessandra Mazzola | 5c | 270$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,751.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1381…28bcbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +537.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 13c | 198.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alessandra Mazzola | 40c | 198.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Alessandra Mazzola | 39c | 180$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Alessandra Mazzola | 44c | 135.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.75 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 52c | 121.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alessandra Mazzola | 19c | 120.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 31c | 115$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Alessandra Mazzola | 10c | 107.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Alessandra Mazzola | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Alessandra Mazzola | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Alessandra Mazzola | 50c | 76.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 57c | 74.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e38…b4cbbacked Alessandra Mazzola | 15c | 67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Alessandra Mazzola | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 62c | 48.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Aurora Zantedeschi | 59c | 47.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Alessandra Mazzola | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Alessandra Mazzola | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Alessandra Mazzola | 41c | 41.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Aurora Zantedeschi | 51c | 23.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.