Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9303b0099d15683d6bfbcb4704c63f238059344eb343fb675ab6214bc6997b57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 4ikibamboniof Level UP, 4ikibamboni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d7e…3fd4backed 4ikibamboni | 73c | 5,000$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…ac6abacked 4ikibamboni | 60c | 4,124$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.16 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…adc2backed 4ikibamboni | 79c | 2,000$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Level UP | 45c | 1,332$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Level UP | 30c | 1,086$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.24 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Level UP | 15c | 908$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Level UP | 19c | 908$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.1 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked 4ikibamboni | 30c | 820.86$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.14 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…30f7backed Level UP | 15c | 814.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Level UP | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Level UP | 25c | 784$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Level UP | 28c | 765$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Level UP | 28c | 621$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.22 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Level UP | 28c | 600$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…07cfbacked Level UP | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Level UP | 22c | 576.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Level UP | 32c | 510$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…fa5ebacked Level UP | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Level UP | 14c | 486$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Level UP | 69c | 482.44$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Level UP | 21c | 461.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked 4ikibamboni | 24c | 460.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.29 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Level UP | 30c | 458$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Level UP | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Level UP | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Level UP | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa76…e588backed 4ikibamboni | 79c | 400$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Level UP | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Level UP | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Level UP | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Level UP | 39c | 399.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Level UP | 70c | 392.45$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Level UP | 25c | 353$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Level UP | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed 4ikibamboni | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Level UP | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +237.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked 4ikibamboni | 29c | 294.95$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed 4ikibamboni | 35c | 289$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed Level UP | 21c | 250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 4ikibamboni | 34c | 225.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed 4ikibamboni | 30c | 219.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed 4ikibamboni | 34c | 214.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Level UP | 71c | 206.38$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.43 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Level UP | 26c | 205$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…1701backed Level UP | 69c | 203.78$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Level UP | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Level UP | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Level UP | 15c | 196.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Level UP | 30c | 186$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…556bbacked Level UP | 17c | 181.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Level UP | 11c | 161$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Level UP | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Level UP | 41c | 133.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Level UP | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked Level UP | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Level UP | 67c | 115.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed 4ikibamboni | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Level UP | 70c | 91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Level UP | 73c | 86.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed 4ikibamboni | 25c | 81.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed Level UP | 74c | 79.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Level UP | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Level UP | 64c | 70.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Level UP | 20c | 68.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a4…dbc9backed Level UP | 46c | 65.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…82a8backed Level UP | 73c | 64.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Level UP | 78c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Level UP | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed 4ikibamboni | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Level UP | 56c | 48.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Level UP | 70c | 46.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Level UP | 62c | 37.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Level UP | 71c | 33.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Level UP | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked Level UP | 70c | 16.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 WinnerLevel UP won
- Dota 2: Level UP vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner4ikibamboni won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.