TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
WRAITH PCIFICof WRAITH PCIFIC, UNiTY esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,423
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,423 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed WRAITH PCIFIC44c1,477$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.111,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed UNiTY esports39c1,398$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.0961837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86af…f384backed UNiTY esports73c1,210$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.639764.9%63 W · 34 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked UNiTY esports11c1,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7288…9ec5backed UNiTY esports11c1,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132825%2 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+34.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ba3…9a44backed UNiTY esports11c1,200$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13260%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…70b6backed UNiTY esports6c1,195$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed UNiTY esports38c1,131$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.152,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed WRAITH PCIFIC67c1,025$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.942,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked UNiTY esports12c1,010$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.22,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed WRAITH PCIFIC42c972$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.2516051.3%82 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed UNiTY esports8c886$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.722927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+307.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed UNiTY esports14c877$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7142427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed UNiTY esports7c857.36$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.23120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed WRAITH PCIFIC55c845.97$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.095,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked UNiTY esports6c796.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.771943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed WRAITH PCIFIC39c789.12$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.861054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed UNiTY esports61c654.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005527.3%15 W · 40 L-10.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-44.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UNiTY esports32c624$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.033,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed UNiTY esports44c621.64$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.216,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked UNiTY esports11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed WRAITH PCIFIC43c589.33$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.615,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9219…027cbacked WRAITH PCIFIC79c555$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.098100%8 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+69.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b9c…c182backed UNiTY esports61c531.88$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.511776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7004…a778backed WRAITH PCIFIC41c500$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29330155.8%168 W · 133 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed UNiTY esports49c499.01$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.132,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed WRAITH PCIFIC70c496.97$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2283543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed UNiTY esports30c452.14$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5640542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked WRAITH PCIFIC50c365.66$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.4417449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked UNiTY esports12c334.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.551,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked UNiTY esports57c328.14$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1413844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked UNiTY esports37c304.5$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.992,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed WRAITH PCIFIC48c283$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0335848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed UNiTY esports40c275.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3940639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6096…e6d9backed UNiTY esports11c272.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked UNiTY esports38c261.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked WRAITH PCIFIC67c247.9$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.089567.4%64 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f7…06eabacked WRAITH PCIFIC40c244.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.01944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed UNiTY esports59c243.21$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.495257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed UNiTY esports47c211.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked UNiTY esports58c206.13$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5691945.8%421 W · 498 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked UNiTY esports56c200.18$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.083,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked UNiTY esports50c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.143,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked UNiTY esports61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12214044.3%62 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed UNiTY esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed UNiTY esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218432.6%60 W · 124 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a19…86c8backed UNiTY esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226330.2%19 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked UNiTY esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227920.3%16 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed UNiTY esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed UNiTY esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2257935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked UNiTY esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed UNiTY esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked UNiTY esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229430.9%29 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked UNiTY esports40c185.46$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7433060.9%201 W · 129 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked WRAITH PCIFIC57c183.45$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked WRAITH PCIFIC48c183.42$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.74,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed WRAITH PCIFIC41c179.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.192,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed WRAITH PCIFIC47c177.55$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5517146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked WRAITH PCIFIC45c175.52$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.674,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UNiTY esports30c172.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.762,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked UNiTY esports59c168.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca2…5d25backed UNiTY esports63c165.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7517759.9%106 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed UNiTY esports47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7542757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked UNiTY esports42c158.75$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.831,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed UNiTY esports67c149.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed WRAITH PCIFIC47c145.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5337949.3%187 W · 192 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc910…8bbcbacked WRAITH PCIFIC71c141.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.326744.8%30 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked WRAITH PCIFIC39c141$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0115044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe83…82a8backed UNiTY esports64c129.19$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2510775.7%81 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick71cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed WRAITH PCIFIC57c128.94$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0296543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked UNiTY esports62c126.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7358745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed WRAITH PCIFIC48c119.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9233146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked WRAITH PCIFIC38c112.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.931,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked UNiTY esports60c110$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6695642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed WRAITH PCIFIC78c107$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.832,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked UNiTY esports14c106$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3622837.3%85 W · 143 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3f1…5ea0backed UNiTY esports38c102.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked UNiTY esports11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118735.6%31 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked UNiTY esports11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110029%29 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked UNiTY esports11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117236.1%26 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed UNiTY esports11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129347.8%140 W · 153 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed UNiTY esports11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1137339.7%148 W · 225 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d4…2f1ebacked UNiTY esports62c99.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.429156.7%165 W · 126 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb186…a946backed WRAITH PCIFIC64c99.06$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.065248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed WRAITH PCIFIC41c95.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.0173948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed WRAITH PCIFIC60c89$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.619762.9%124 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed UNiTY esports41c81.77$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.622,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…5dc5backed WRAITH PCIFIC78c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick73cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8563…5e98backed WRAITH PCIFIC79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9051…32d2backed UNiTY esports36c78.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1230859.1%182 W · 126 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6a4…4688backed UNiTY esports38c78.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed UNiTY esports46c78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked UNiTY esports13c78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2218939.2%74 W · 115 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked UNiTY esports61c77.34$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.132,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc57…24aebacked UNiTY esports44c73.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9b…cbe5backed WRAITH PCIFIC54c72.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.144244.1%195 W · 247 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efd…02eabacked WRAITH PCIFIC46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.221172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+53.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5f…0689backed UNiTY esports60c60.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.439142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed UNiTY esports59c50.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020067%134 W · 66 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9311…e731backed UNiTY esports62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316759.7%40 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.