CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18cb3d0a53c5a3dc558f116916cbe66c29585f9571bbaefddf949ca1eb6d009d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guara Esportsof Guara Esports, Procyon Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6535…063fbacked Procyon Gaming | 2c | 7,100$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Procyon Gaming | 76c | 2,740$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Procyon Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Procyon Gaming | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Guara Esports | 24c | 1,170$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.53 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Guara Esports | 24c | 1,167$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.75 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Procyon Gaming | 76c | 819.37$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.43 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Guara Esports | 34c | 752.3$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.55 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guara Esports | 71c | 730.12$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.58 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Procyon Gaming | 40c | 718$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.7 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Procyon Gaming | 76c | 675.68$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.52 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Procyon Gaming | 76c | 657.89$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.64 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed Procyon Gaming | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Procyon Gaming | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Guara Esports | 78c | 554.43$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Guara Esports | 76c | 530$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Guara Esports | 41c | 527.63$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.53 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Procyon Gaming | 32c | 467.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guara Esports | 73c | 425.05$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Procyon Gaming | 43c | 400.57$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.23 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Guara Esports | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Guara Esports | 69c | 397.77$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Guara Esports | 69c | 378$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Procyon Gaming | 33c | 338.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.05 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Guara Esports | 24c | 300$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.77 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Guara Esports | 25c | 289.7$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.27 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Procyon Gaming | 21c | 283$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Procyon Gaming | 22c | 281.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0af5backed Guara Esports | 23c | 272.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.64 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Procyon Gaming | 23c | 261$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Guara Esports | 24c | 260.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Procyon Gaming | 22c | 216$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Procyon Gaming | 39c | 207.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Procyon Gaming | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Guara Esports | 23c | 192.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Guara Esports | 51c | 186.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Procyon Gaming | 41c | 181.56$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Guara Esports | 23c | 174$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Procyon Gaming | 19c | 172$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Procyon Gaming | 24c | 166.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Guara Esports | 22c | 161.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.81 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Guara Esports | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Procyon Gaming | 23c | 143.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guara Esports | 24c | 130.14$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Guara Esports | 63c | 126.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports | 68c | 119.94$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Procyon Gaming | 32c | 117.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Guara Esports | 25c | 113.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Procyon Gaming | 32c | 107.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Guara Esports | 64c | 105.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Procyon Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Guara Esports | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Guara Esports | 77c | 92.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Procyon Gaming | 20c | 87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Procyon Gaming | 18c | 84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Guara Esports | 69c | 83.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Guara Esports | 67c | 73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Procyon Gaming | 44c | 70.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Procyon Gaming | 51c | 66.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Guara Esports | 24c | 66.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Guara Esports | 23c | 65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Procyon Gaming | 36c | 60.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Procyon Gaming | 73c | 54.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…dcd0backed Guara Esports | 79c | 51.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Guara Esports | 34c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Guara Esports | 64c | 44.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Guara Esports | 62c | 42.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Guara Esports | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a02cbacked Guara Esports | 77c | 21.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba4…4fcfbacked Guara Esports | 63c | 17.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Guara Esports | 67c | 15.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…7280backed Guara Esports | 71c | 15.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageGuara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerProcyon Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)Guara Esports won
- Map Handicap: PCY (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)Guara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.