TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Procyon Gamingof Guara Esports, Procyon Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0ac…7deebacked Guara Esports1c9,905$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4243152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Guara Esports30c3,944$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.042,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Procyon Gaming69c3,181$2,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.521,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Procyon Gaming72c2,195$1,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.831,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc93…718bbacked Guara Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Guara Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Guara Esports36c1,391$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.651,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Procyon Gaming69c1,174$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.31,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Procyon Gaming76c1,055$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.665,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Guara Esports25c888.15$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.462,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Guara Esports23c734.66$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.842,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Guara Esports28c697.69$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.595,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Guara Esports30c605.68$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.613,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Procyon Gaming46c517.33$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.87,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Procyon Gaming73c458.04$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.071,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Guara Esports42c391.1$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.372,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Procyon Gaming64c390.61$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7862248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Guara Esports24c300$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7333340.2%134 W · 199 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Guara Esports29c290.95$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5151942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed Guara Esports25c255.64$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9112334.1%42 W · 81 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Guara Esports35c253$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6928651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Guara Esports40c241.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0593…9712backed Procyon Gaming74c225.87$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0928173%205 W · 76 L+21.6wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Guara Esports39c208.74$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.594,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Guara Esports36c193.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5812752.8%67 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Guara Esports26c190.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.061,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Procyon Gaming76c188.71$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.551,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Procyon Gaming74c184.37$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.933,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7055…49bbbacked Guara Esports39c182.56$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7114549.7%72 W · 73 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Procyon Gaming68c181.03$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0326546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Procyon Gaming69c152.64$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.651,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Procyon Gaming70c151.56$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.922,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Guara Esports23c150$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.517251.2%88 W · 84 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Procyon Gaming47c146$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0745754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Procyon Gaming44c137.45$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.313060.8%79 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Guara Esports28c129$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.472,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Procyon Gaming66c122$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.482,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Procyon Gaming48c118.34$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5174653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked Guara Esports35c106$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2614331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guara Esports24c105.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.235,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Procyon Gaming48c101.26$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6342255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Guara Esports28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Guara Esports30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Guara Esports29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.391,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Guara Esports30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Guara Esports30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Guara Esports28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.575438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Guara Esports55c99.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.91,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Procyon Gaming69c87.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.13458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Guara Esports28c82.86$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210146.5%47 W · 54 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Guara Esports29c81.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7337859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bec…7800backed Procyon Gaming67c79.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3433448.2%161 W · 173 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Procyon Gaming75c79.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.874,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Guara Esports24c79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1260032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Procyon Gaming46c76.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2218753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Guara Esports24c72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1791743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Procyon Gaming73c65.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8496543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Guara Esports27c64.14$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.323,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Guara Esports25c62.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.411,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Procyon Gaming72c59.37$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.636174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Procyon Gaming51c50.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0240857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Guara Esports24c43.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Guara Esports36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1577146%355 W · 416 L+0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Procyon Gaming47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1827156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Procyon Gaming75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1092456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Guara Esports25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1029731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ab…14e7backed Guara Esports25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1357…4829backed Procyon Gaming64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48549.4%42 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Procyon Gaming68c39.21$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.667547.3%319 W · 356 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Guara Esports29c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5313751.8%71 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Guara Esports31c33.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.432,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Procyon Gaming73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.150358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba4…4fcfbacked Procyon Gaming76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.323458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc326…cb55backed Procyon Gaming66c25.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Guara Esports41c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2537149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fd…9164backed Procyon Gaming76c19.47$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.677052.9%37 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Procyon Gaming68c19.05$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.141,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Procyon Gaming70c17.3$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.131,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Procyon Gaming76c16.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.871,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.