CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x349fb8f3a0f533f69be11eedc9c468a90589c459f03fde09479431b4818d50af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 68c | 3,782$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 68c | 1,942$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.81 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 67c | 1,191$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 61c | 995.22$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.81 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Over | 32c | 837.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Over | 33c | 817.24$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.55 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 35c | 808.75$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.75 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 68c | 746.14$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.52 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 67c | 744.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.27 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 722.95$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.59 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Over | 32c | 688.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.35 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Over | 32c | 596.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.94 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Over | 32c | 596.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.94 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Over | 32c | 596.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.94 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 33c | 484.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.59 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 33c | 413.09$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.77 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Over | 32c | 280.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.69 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Over | 31c | 222$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.18 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +12.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 33c | 191.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 33c | 185.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 60c | 167$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 65c | 155.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 35c | 148.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 33c | 118$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…425fbacked Over | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 104.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 44c | 98.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.76 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…304fbacked Over | 34c | 89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…18ffbacked Over | 33c | 81.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.34 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 32c | 80.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 31c | 63.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 403 | 41.7%168 W · 235 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Under | 64c | 62.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 32c | 55.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 52.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…3fb4backed Over | 33c | 51.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…2d03backed Over | 33c | 51.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 66c | 48.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Over | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 75c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 32c | 42.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 32c | 40.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 67c | 40.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Over | 35c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Over | 32c | 34.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group StageGuara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 WinnerGuara Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming - Map 2 WinnerProcyon Gaming won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Procyon Gaming (-3.5) vs Guara Esports (+3.5)Guara Esports won
- Map Handicap: PCY (-1.5) vs Guara Esports (+1.5)Guara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.