TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,731

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over 2.534c73,832$25,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,05036346.8%170 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under 2.568c30,000$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.991,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under 2.564c17,284$11,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,166.6510751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Under 2.564c15,227$9,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,502.625853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Under 2.567c7,153$4,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.1599649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over 2.558c5,190$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00027351.3%140 W · 133 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under 2.569c3,174$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.081,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under 2.566c2,500$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86022449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.568c2,051$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.657,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.566c1,327$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.17,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7288…9ec5backed Under 2.519c1,010$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.62045%9 W · 11 L+5.7wins+0.29per pick16cpaid+117.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.567c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3309,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under 2.563c902.84$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.672,43350.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L+81.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a7…8105backed Over 2.532c749.92$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under 2.568c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under 2.568c635$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.21,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Under 2.557c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.321,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under 2.565c511.68$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0938446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under 2.568c506.21$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+165.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under 2.567c469.69$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1554,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over 2.535c468.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.223066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Under 2.525c450$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3391089.3%10 W · 98 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under 2.557c408.18$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.521,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4516…cc3abacked Over 2.529c381.79$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Over 2.531c371.3$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9936535.1%128 W · 237 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3135…f6c3backed Under 2.573c342.04$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8526555.8%148 W · 117 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under 2.566c300$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10383747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under 2.564c300$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1071,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Under 2.515c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554932.7%16 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+131.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Under 2.515c300$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2553542.9%15 W · 20 L+10.7wins+0.31per pick12cpaid+212%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x1945…749dbacked Over 2.530c275.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Under 2.570c255.6$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.684936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over 2.533c242.42$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8054641.6%227 W · 319 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked Under 2.525c225$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.51942.1%8 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.26per pick16cpaid+110.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under 2.557c201.75$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.751,14447.2%540 W · 604 L+64.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under 2.568c199.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6439052.1%203 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Under 2.557c194.77$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.751,78548.7%869 W · 916 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Under 2.569c184$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0473748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Over 2.532c183.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7217138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Under 2.557c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4482657.1%472 W · 354 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over 2.532c171.79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under 2.526c160.54$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.222339.1%9 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick17cpaid+100.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xffef…dabfbacked Under 2.568c145$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.415754.8%86 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under 2.564c140$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.484640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under 2.569c132.22$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9947552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Under 2.557c131.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.462,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5995…be17backed Over 2.536c129.41$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under 2.557c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.813,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under 2.557c122.81$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.812,63946.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under 2.568c121$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.726051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…fad2backed Under 2.533c111.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.92740.7%11 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+74.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under 2.568c107.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.891,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over 2.533c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under 2.568c105.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9210658.5%62 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x508f…775fbacked Under 2.569c104.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.552045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under 2.568c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3211253.6%60 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under 2.557c98.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.253,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x670d…3f3fbacked Over 2.529c94.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115f…f51dbacked Over 2.532c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012157.9%70 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over 2.533c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.77940.5%32 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under 2.557c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.726758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Under 2.569c82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7915745.9%72 W · 85 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1687…906cbacked Over 2.532c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Under 2.557c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1844051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under 2.557c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.182,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Under 2.535c69.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6416230.9%50 W · 112 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick22cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8e3…05e1backed Over 2.532c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206439.1%25 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb04…8b26backed Over 2.533c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under 2.567c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Over 2.536c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014652.7%77 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e8…69e7backed Over 2.532c55.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…d3fdbacked Under 2.569c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.433650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed Under 2.568c52.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9613657.4%78 W · 58 L+11.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Under 2.557c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6323551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…8e8fbacked Under 2.557c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6310755.1%59 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under 2.557c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.519745.7%90 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Over 2.532c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under 2.568c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1658553%310 W · 275 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Under 2.568c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1611745.3%53 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under 2.531c49.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1717617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3de2…d073backed Over 2.530c49.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.04728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Under 2.570c48.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5717655.1%97 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under 2.562c46.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.82,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under 2.568c43.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9830544.3%135 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Under 2.566c43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.628755.2%48 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a1…4ca0backed Under 2.568c42.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.642766.7%18 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Under 2.573c40.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.181,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under 2.554c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under 2.570c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.734860.3%210 W · 138 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under 2.568c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4850351.5%259 W · 244 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1486…cef3backed Under 2.570c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.76045%27 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…1cb8backed Under 2.570c38.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.542853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Under 2.570c38.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5416964.5%109 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under 2.569c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7882055%451 W · 369 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdecb…e058backed Over 2.533c32.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.655759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x085a…58a8backed Over 2.532c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc278…e91fbacked Over 2.532c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Under 2.568c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.74951%25 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa888…e98cbacked Under 2.568c28.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0416459.1%97 W · 67 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under 2.568c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.086264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.