Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb89ada7851a11eb236af7c09964994e0c735b4ac01c45681342e3996489f0283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreevaof Chwalinska, Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Chwalinska | 19c | 3,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Chwalinska | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…e2e9backed Chwalinska | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andreeva | 58c | 963.08$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.49 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chwalinska | 28c | 923$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Andreeva | 69c | 886.98$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.84 | 337 | 53.7%181 W · 156 L | +21.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Andreeva | 76c | 739.67$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.27 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andreeva | 72c | 735.63$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Andreeva | 58c | 681.03$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Andreeva | 70c | 673.53$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…db78backed Andreeva | 70c | 614.42$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Chwalinska | 14c | 611.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Andreeva | 79c | 603.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 390 | 52.1%203 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Andreeva | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andreeva | 73c | 423.92$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.05 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Chwalinska | 31c | 334.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chwalinska | 32c | 301.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.14 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Chwalinska | 5c | 276.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5eb…0fb8backed Chwalinska | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Chwalinska | 28c | 215.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…50cabacked Andreeva | 73c | 205.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Andreeva | 68c | 195.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7538…6ca6backed Chwalinska | 27c | 182.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Chwalinska | 32c | 181.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Chwalinska | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Chwalinska | 24c | 161.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Chwalinska | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 871 | 35.4%308 W · 563 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Chwalinska | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Chwalinska | 29c | 133.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chwalinska | 25c | 125$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 837 | 47.6%398 W · 439 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Chwalinska | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Andreeva | 78c | 121$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Andreeva | 73c | 111$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Chwalinska | 48c | 97.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Chwalinska | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…fc07backed Chwalinska | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Chwalinska | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Andreeva | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Andreeva | 74c | 76.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Andreeva | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Andreeva | 71c | 60.85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Chwalinska | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Chwalinska | 25c | 59.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Chwalinska | 24c | 57.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Chwalinska | 27c | 54.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Andreeva | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Andreeva | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Andreeva | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Andreeva | 70c | 25.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…2737backed Andreeva | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Andreeva | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andreeva | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Andreeva | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…92a4backed Andreeva | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa888…e98cbacked Andreeva | 80c | 14.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 164 | 59.1%97 W · 67 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Chwalinska vs Andreevathis page
- Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Chwalinska vs. Andreeva: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra AndreevaMirra Andreeva won
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Chwalinska (+1.5)Andreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.