Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Virtanen vs Majchrzak
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad24adab76ce8a20f4426e29e31517c33294fbe631229b738245de05f567bf53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtanenof Virtanen, Majchrzak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Majchrzak | 4c | 2,921$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Majchrzak | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…9ec5backed Majchrzak | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +5.7wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Majchrzak | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Virtanen | 47c | 850.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Majchrzak | 53c | 809$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.29 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Majchrzak | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 17cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked Majchrzak | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.26per pick | 16cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Majchrzak | 7c | 576.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Majchrzak | 40c | 413.67$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Virtanen | 55c | 399.81$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Majchrzak | 39c | 305$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…e6d9backed Majchrzak | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Majchrzak | 47c | 287.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Majchrzak | 10c | 282.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Majchrzak | 41c | 279.38$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…fad2backed Majchrzak | 10c | 275.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Virtanen | 60c | 202.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Majchrzak | 50c | 170.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Majchrzak | 49c | 142.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Majchrzak | 15c | 131.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Majchrzak | 46c | 130.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Majchrzak | 16c | 112.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Majchrzak | 45c | 102.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Virtanen | 59c | 101.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Virtanen | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…bdb8backed Virtanen | 59c | 90.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 152 | 63.8%97 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Virtanen | 61c | 86.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Virtanen | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Virtanen | 50c | 69.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Majchrzak | 27c | 62.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtanen | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Majchrzak | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Virtanen | 53c | 44.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Virtanen | 52c | 38.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Virtanen | 49c | 30.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Majchrzak | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Majchrzak | 54c | 27.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Virtanen | 52c | 27.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Majchrzak | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Virtanen | 74c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Virtanen | 69c | 16.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Virtanen vs Majchrzakthis page
- Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil MajchrzakKamil Majchrzak won
- Otto Virtanen vs. Kamil Majchrzak: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Virtanen (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)Majchrzak won
- Virtanen vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Virtanen vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.