Tennis · resolved market
Virtanen vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42fd2a15ef28f16cdb736e752f6b1c489acd889c5b45a5643015cfb636035bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Over | 54c | 6,000$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.8 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…5561backed Under | 46c | 639.13$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…42bebacked Under | 46c | 558.33$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 435.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.93 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…164cbacked Under | 46c | 369.57$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 45c | 314.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.34 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 48c | 313$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 199.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Over | 53c | 167.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 55c | 127.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 47c | 121$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…8b6ebacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4de…672abacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 46c | 71.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Over | 57c | 53.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 53c | 50.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…7ab4backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2766…b43ebacked Over | 52c | 34.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 43c | 32.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 47c | 25.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 157 | 45.9%72 W · 85 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Virtanen vs. Majchrzak: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil MajchrzakKamil Majchrzak won
- Otto Virtanen vs. Kamil Majchrzak: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Virtanen vs MajchrzakVirtanen won
- Set Handicap: Virtanen (-1.5) vs Majchrzak (+1.5)Majchrzak won
- Virtanen vs. Majchrzak: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.