TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,505 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes18c6,233$1,141 inLost-$1,141.071,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Yes18c5,230$941 inLost-$941.348458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes14c600$84 inLost-$8411348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes16c493.93$81 inLost-$81.0629813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes12c444.72$53 inLost-$53.121,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yes11c272$30 inLost-$29.923842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes18c250$45 inLost-$4538924.4%95 W · 294 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes13c179.34$24 inLost-$23.861,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes17c115.44$20 inLost-$2013021.5%28 W · 102 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b2ddbacked Yes18c111.11$20 inLost-$209842.9%42 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Yes15c99$15 inLost-$15.0627242.3%115 W · 157 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes15c80$12 inLost-$11.883,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Yes18c69.99$13 inLost-$12.612948.8%63 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf09f…05f9backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$102748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost-$1012517.6%22 W · 103 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1011338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0b…4817backed Yes20c50$10 inLost-$1025841.1%106 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7195…f4eebacked Yes77c13.03$10 inLost-$1010617.9%19 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 74. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.